多口径加权与普通加权在健康调查数据分析管理中的应用效果比较  

Effects of calibration weighting and conventional weighting in processing of research data:A comparative study

作　　者：张军锋 刘冰洁 邵彤 Zhang Junfeng;Liu Bingjie;Shao Tong(Health Education Center of Shanxi Province,Taiyuan030001,China;不详)

机构地区：[1]山西省健康教育中心,太原030001 [2]山西医科大学管理学院 [3]山西省体育科学研究所

出　　处：《中国药物与临床》2021年第6期901-903,共3页Chinese Remedies & Clinics

基　　金：国家自然科学基金(81573245,81102198);山西省重点研发计划项目(201803D31207);山西省卫生健康委员会公共卫生专项科研项目(2018GW09);山西省卫生和计划生育委员会科研项目(2020021,2014169)。

摘　　要：目的比较多口径加权与普通加权在总体结果估算方面的应用效果,证实多口径加权在流行病学健康调查数据分析管理中的实用价值。方法选取山西省常见风湿病调查数据库中的完整调查资料6424份,分别对其进行普通加权与多口径加权,评价其估计误差程度,预估骨关节炎患者人数,并检验真实性。结果与普通加权相比,多口径加权算法计算出的口径加权对虚拟总体的分组人数估计误差小,对患病人数的估计值更加接近真实值、估计误差百分比小。在对山西省农村地区不同年龄段骨关节炎患病率的估计中发现,年龄是骨关节炎患病的重要危险因素,70岁以上人群患病率最高,达56.71%。结论多口径加权与普通加权相比误差率低,估算准确度高,真实性强,在流行病学数据管理分析中能显示出其根据样本数据准确推断总体的价值,具有广阔的应用前景。Objective To compare the effects of calibration weighting and conventional weighting in the estimation of overall results,and to identify the clinical use of calibration weighting in epidemiological analysis.Methods A total of 6424 complete data of rheumatology survey in Shanxi Province were included to carry out conventional weighting and calibration weighting,respectively.The estimated error degree was evaluated and the number of patients with osteoarthritis was estimated,and the authenticity was verified.Results Compared with the conventional weighting,the calibration weight calculated by the calibration weighting shows less error in estimating the number of populations in the groups of overall virtual population.Its estimated value of the number of patients is closer to the true value,and the estimated error percentage is small.In the estimation of the prevalence of osteoarthritis in patients with different ages in rural areas of Shanxi Province,it was found that age was an important risk factor for osteoarthritis,and the prevalence of in patients aged over 70 years old was the highest,reaching 56.71%.Conclusion Compared with conventional weighting,calibration weighting shows low error rate,high estimation accuracy and authenticity.In epidemiological data analysis,it shows accurate estimation for overall results based on sample data with broad application prospect.

关 键 词：流行病学 骨关节炎 估计 多口径加权(口径权数) 普通加权(普通权数) 

分 类 号：R195.1[医药卫生—卫生统计学]