产业集聚、城市人口规模与区域经济协调发展——基于我国12个城市群的比较研究  

Industrial Agglomeration, Urban Population Size and Coordinated Development of Regional Economy: A Comparative Study of Twelve Urban Agglomerations in China

作　　者：张凤超[1] 黎欣[1] ZHANG Fengchao;LI Xin

机构地区：[1]华南师范大学经济与管理学院,广州510006

出　　处：《华南师范大学学报（社会科学版）》2021年第2期156-166,207,208,共13页Journal of South China Normal University：Social Science Edition

摘　　要：我国城市群产业与经济发展水平存在差距,整体看来,专业化集聚不利于经济增长,多样化集聚对经济增长的促进作用尚未产生。随着城市人口规模扩大,集聚经济效应被抑制。北部湾城市群与辽中南城市群专业化集聚仍具发展空间,辽中南城市群与长三角城市群多样化集聚产生经济效应。专业化集聚适合于“小而精”的城市发展;多样化集聚适合于“大而全”的城市发展,不过前提条件是多样化集聚的经济外部性已产生。长三角城市群与珠三角城市群,产业发展潜力受限,人口规模的扩大有利于发挥产业集聚对经济的促进作用,“在集聚中走向平衡”是真正达到区域经济协调发展的有效途径。Based on the panel data of 191 cities of 12 urban agglomerations in China from 2005 to 2018,the synergistic effect of industrial agglomeration and urban population size on economic growth is examined.It is found that,on the whole,China s specialized agglomeration is not conducive to economic growth and the promotive effect of diversified agglomeration on economic growth has not yet been produced.With the expansion of population size,the effect of agglomeration economy is inhibited.Specialized agglomeration is suitable for“small and fine”urban development and diversified agglomeration is suitable for“large and comprehensive”urban development on the premise that the economic externality of diversified agglomeration is produced.In the Yangtze River Delta and Pearl River Delta urban agglomerations,the potential of industrial development is limited,and the expansion of population size is conducive to the promotion of economy by industrial agglomeration.The effective solution to real coordinated development of regional economy is a transition from agglomeration to balance.

关 键 词：专业化集聚 多样化集聚 城市群 城市人口规模 区域经济协调发展 

分 类 号：F127[经济管理—世界经济] F299.2