基于SD的城市户籍改革中公共服务政策创新效应的动态仿真研究——以南昌市为例  

Dynamic Simulation of the Effect of Public Service Innovation Policy in Household Registration Reform Based on System Dynamic Model——Taking Nanchang household registration reform as an example

作　　者：周小刚[1] 余心怡 李丽清[2] 陈水琳 ZHOU Xiao-gang;YU Xin-yi;LI Li-qing;CHEN Shui-lin(School of Economics and Management,East China Jiaotong University,Nanchang 330013,China;School of Economics and Management,Jiangxi Science and Technology Normal University,Nanchang 330031,China)

机构地区：[1]华东交通大学经管学院,江西南昌330013 [2]江西科技师范大学经管学院,江西南昌330031

出　　处：《数学的实践与认识》2021年第3期252-260,共9页Mathematics in Practice and Theory

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(71563011,71863007,71964015,71473110);江西省社会科学规划一般项目(18GL20)。

摘　　要：在城乡户籍限制壁垒正逐步削弱的大背景下,实现城市常住人口公共服务均等化对于区域经济发展具有重要意义.应用系统动力学的逐树设撤关联数结构行为检验建模方法,建立仿真模型,通过设置户籍政策调控参数、公共教育支出参数、就业和社会保障支出参数及医疗卫生支出参数,分析不同情景下的政策实施效果,探讨城市户籍改革中公共服务创新政策效应.结果表明,提高公共服务支出水平,扩大居住证含金量,有利于提升户籍改革效果.Under the background that the urban and rural household registration barriers are being gradually weakened,it is of great significance for regional economic development to realize the goal of equal public services for the urban resident population.By setting the parameters of household registration policy,public education expenditure,employment and social security expenditure,and medical and health expenditure,the method of structural behavior test and model of system dynamics are used to establish a simulation model.This paper analyzes the effect of policy implementation under different circumstances and discusses the effect of public service innovation policy in urban household registration reform.The results show that improving the level of public services and increasing the gold content of resident permit are conducive to improving the effect of household registration reform.

关 键 词：户籍改革 公共服务 系统动力学 政策仿真 

分 类 号：D631.42[政治法律—政治学] N941.3[政治法律—中外政治制度]