风雨耦合作用下的城市道路行车风险评估  

Assessment of traffic risk on urban roads under the coupling effect of wind and rain

作　　者：张可欣 岳小泉 孙晓楠 方敬升 黄海南 游宇光 ZHANG Kexin;YUE Xiaoquan;SUN Xiaonan;FANG Jingsheng;HUANG Hainan;YOU Yuguang(College of Transportation and Civil Engineering, Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University, Fuzhou 350002, China)

机构地区：[1]福建农林大学交通与土木工程学院,福建福州350002

出　　处：《福建工程学院学报》2021年第1期75-80,共6页Journal of Fujian University of Technology

基　　金：福建农林大学科技创新专项基金项目(KFA17039A)。

摘　　要：从道路条件、天气条件和设施条件3个方面选取18个影响因素,基于DAMATEL方法,建立直接影响矩阵并规范化,获得综合影响矩阵,得到三层次风雨耦合作用下的城市道路风险评估体系,结合模糊综合评价以及层次分析法确定各级评价指标的权重,建立了一个相对完整的评价体系,并将其应用于当地的风险评估中,为当地的交通管理控制以及降低行车风险提供了一定的理论参考。18 influencing factors were selected from the 3 aspects of road conditions,weather conditions and facility conditions.Based on the DAMATEL method,the direct influence matrix was established and standardized,and the comprehensive influence matrix was obtained.The urban road risk assessment system under the coupling effect of three levels of wind and rain was obtained.Combined with fuzzy comprehensive evaluation and analytic hierarchy process,the weight of each level of evaluation index was determined,and a relatively complete evaluation system was established,which was then applied to the local road risk assessment,and provided some theoretical reference for the management and control of local traffic and the reduction of traffic risks.

关 键 词：交通安全 风雨耦合 城市道路 风险评估 模糊综合评价 层次分析法 

分 类 号：U491.31[交通运输工程—交通运输规划与管理]