OFDI绿色技术溢出与全球价值链升级--以中国对“一带一路”沿线国家为例  

OFDI Green Technology Spillover and Global Value Chain Upgrading——Taking China to Countries along the Belt and Road as an example

作　　者：课题组 马淑琴[1] Research Group(School of Economics,Zhejiang Gongshang University,Hangzhou 310018,Zhejiang,China)

机构地区：[1]浙江工商大学经济学院,浙江杭州310018

出　　处：《中国流通经济》2021年第4期70-81,共12页China Business and Market

基　　金：国家社会科学基金“中国与‘一带一路’国家‘双网互嵌’机制、溢出图景及其政策体系研究”(18BJY011)。

摘　　要：随着我国与“一带一路”沿线国家交流的加深,我国对“一带一路”沿线国家的直接投资(OFDI)规模呈增长趋势,且绿色技术溢出效应显著。为进一步推动“一带一路”沿线国家经济高质量发展,贯彻人类命运共同体理念,选择2005—2018年“一带一路”沿线26个国家的面板数据,利用基于数据包络分析法的曼奎斯特指数法(DEA—Malmquist)测算我国OFDI绿色技术溢出,实证分析其对沿线国家全球价值链参与度和地位跃升的影响,并以地区、发展程度、产业为分组依据进行分样本回归,考察OFDI绿色技术溢出对全球价值链升级的异质性影响。研究结果表明,我国OFDI绿色技术溢出显著促进了“一带一路”沿线国家全球价值链参与度和地位的跃升。尽管OFDI绿色技术溢出与全球价值链参与度和地位具有非线性关联和时序异质性,但均处于非线性曲线的上升阶段;在区际经济地理禀赋约束下,OFDI绿色技术溢出的全球价值链升级效应呈现出禀赋异质性、空间异质性、状态依存性特征。首先,与“一带一路”沿线欧洲国家和发达国家相比,我国OFDI绿色技术溢出对“一带一路”沿线亚洲国家和发展中国家的全球价值链升级效应更显著;其次,与农业和工业相比,服务业的全球价值链升级效应更显著。为实现“一带一路”沿线国家全球价值链向高端环节跃升,既要通过扩大规模、提高质量、多元发展的方式增强我国对“一带一路”沿线国家的OFDI绿色技术溢出效应,又要切实提高区际经济外向度与契约质量,加强营商环境建设,充分利用东道国禀赋优势,强化OFDI绿色技术溢出的全球价值链升级效应。With the deepening of communication between China and countries along the Belt and Road,China's direct investment(OFDI)to the countries along the Belt and Road has shown an increasing trend,and the effect of green technology spillover is significant.To further promote high-quality economic development of countries along the Belt and Road,implement the vision of a community of shared future for mankind,based on the panel data of 26 countries along the Belt and Road from 2005 to 2018,the authors use the DEA-Malmquist index method to measure China's OFDI green technology spillover,and empirically analyze the impact of OFDI green technology spillover on the global value chain participation and position of the countries along the Belt and Road.The sub-sample regression is also carried out based on region,development level,and industry to examine the heterogeneous impact of OFDI's green technology spillover on the ascent of the global value chain.The regression results show that China’s OFDI green technology spillover significantly promotes the global value chain participation and position of countries along the Belt and Road.Although OFDI green technology spillover level has nonlinear correlation and temporal heterogeneity,the level of OFDI's green technology spillover is in the rising stage of the non-linear curve;under the constraints of inter-regional economic and geographic endowments,the upgrading effect of OFDI green technology spillover presents the characteristics of endowment heterogeneity,spatial heterogeneity and state dependence.First,compared with the European countries and developed countries along the Belt and Road,China's OFDI green technology spillover has more significant effects on the global value chain upgrading of the Asian countries and developing countries along the Belt and Road.Second,compared with agriculture and industry,the global value chain upgrading effect of the service industry is more significant.To help countries along the Belt and Road to move up to the top of the global value ch

关 键 词：OFDI “一带一路” 绿色技术溢出 全球价值链参与度 全球价值链地位 

分 类 号：F830.59[经济管理—金融学]