中国罗非鱼产业供求分析  

Supply and Demand of Tilapia Industry in China

作　　者：代云云[1] 袁永明 袁媛[1] 张红燕[1] Dai Yunyun;Yuan Yongming;Yuan Yuan;Zhang Hongyan(Key Laboratory of Freshwater Fisheries and Germplasm Resources Utilization,Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs/Freshwater Fisheries Research Center,Chinese Academy of Fishery Sciences,Wuxi Jiangsu 214081)

机构地区：[1]中国水产科学研究院淡水渔业研究中心/农业农村部淡水渔业和种质资源利用重点实验室,江苏无锡214081

出　　处：《中国农学通报》2021年第7期144-149,共6页Chinese Agricultural Science Bulletin

基　　金：中央级公益性科研院所基本科研业务费专项资金“水产品市场行情分析系统的研究”(2019JBFM08);现代农业产业技术体系专项“特色淡水鱼产业技术体系”(CARS-46)。

摘　　要：从供求的角度,对当前罗非鱼产业供求的情况、特点、存在问题和未来的发展趋势进行分析。罗非鱼的供求发展呈现出供给高度集中,国内消费分散;产品以供给国际市场为主,对外依存度高;需求国多元化,贸易量受美国市场影响大等特点。中国罗非鱼需求变动幅度较大,尤其是美国市场未知性的影响,使得罗非鱼供给存在部分过剩的现象。预计未来一段时间内,罗非鱼需求会有较大幅度的下降,但这种下降会在新冠疫情影响后得到缓解,并继续增长。而由于市场的不确定性等原因,中国罗非鱼供给量增长将持续放缓,甚至减少。From the perspective of supply and demand,this paper analyzed the current status,characteristics,existing problems and future development trends of the tilapia industry.The development of tilapia supply and demand is characterized by a high concentration of supply and scattered domestic consumption;products are mainly supplied to the international market and highly dependent on foreign countries;demanding countries are diversified and trade volume is greatly affected by the US market.China's tilapia demand has changed significantly,especially due to the uncertainty of the US market,which has caused a partial surplus of tilapia supply.It is expected that the demand for tilapia would decline significantly in the future,but this decline will be alleviated after the impact of COVID-19 and the demand will continue to grow.Due to market uncertainty and other reasons,China’s tilapia supply will increase at a low level,or even decrease.

关 键 词：罗非鱼产业 供求 贸易战 新冠疫情 展望 

分 类 号：F326.4[经济管理—产业经济]