不同代际视角下农户耕地撂荒行为研究——基于江西省兴国县293份农户问卷调查  

Study on Farmland Abandonment Behavior of Farmers from Intergenerational Differences Perspectives:Based on 293 Farmer Questionnaires in Xingguo County,Jiangxi Province

作　　者：谢花林 黄萤乾 XIE Hualin;HUANG Yingqian(Institute of Ecological Civilization,Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics,Nanchang 330013,China)

机构地区：[1]江西财经大学生态文明研究院,江西南昌330013

出　　处：《中国土地科学》2021年第2期20-30,共11页China Land Science

基　　金：国家自然科学基金面上项目(41971243);国家自然科学基金重点项目(41930757);江西省自然科学基金重点项目(20202ACB203004);江西省高校人文社科项目(GL19111)。

摘　　要：研究目的:基于江西省兴国县农户调研数据,分析农户代际差异对山区农村耕地撂荒的影响。研究方法:Logit和Tobit模型。研究结果:(1)调查地区有46.1%的农户撂荒耕地,且代际差异每提升一级,耕地撂荒意愿会增加9%;(2)耕地经营规模、耕地块数和土地流转是决定新生代农户耕地是否撂荒及撂荒规模的关键因素,而受教育程度、非农收入占比、土地流转、村内撂荒程度和耕地分散程度对中生代农户耕地撂荒意愿作用最大;(3)老一代农户耕地撂荒规模所受影响因素最多,且性别和土地流转对老一代农户耕地撂荒规模的减缓作用最大。研究结论:在推动耕地要素自由流动和农田基础设施建设的同时,应当考虑不同代际农户所处的生命周期阶段及其自身禀赋差距对耕地撂荒的影响。The purpose of this paper is to analyze the impact of intergenerational differences of farmers on farmland abandonment in mountainous rural areas based on the survey data of farmers in Xingguo County,Jiangxi Province.The methods of Logit and Tobit models are used.The results show that:1)in the survey area,46.1%of the farmers have abandoned farmland,and the probability of farmland abandonment will increase by 9%for each level of intergenerational difference.2)The scale of farmland management,the number of plots and land transfers are the key factors that determine whether the farmland of the new generation of farmers is abandoned and the scale of abandonment.However,the education degree,the proportion of non-agricultural income,land transfers,the degree of abandonment in the village and farmland fragmentation degree have the greatest effects on the willingness of intermediate farmers to abandon farmland.3)The farmland abandonment scale of the older generation farmers is affected by the largest number of factors,and the gender and land transfers have the greatest effects on mitigating the farmland abandonment scale of the older generation farmers.In conclusion,during the process of promoting the free flow of farmland elements and the construction of farmland infrastructure,it is necessary to consider the impact of the life cycle of different generations of farmers and their endowment gaps on farmland abandonment.

关 键 词：耕地撂荒 代际差异 农户 TOBIT模型 

分 类 号：F301.21[经济管理—产业经济]