中国与俄罗斯之间木质林产品贸易优势及潜力演变  

Advantages and Potential Evolution of Sino-Russian Wood Forest Products Trade

作　　者：田刚[1] 杨光[2] 吴天博[1] 刘畅[1] Tian Gang;Yang Guang;Wu Tianbo;Liu Chang(Northeast Forestry University,Harbin 150040,P.R.China)

机构地区：[1]东北林业大学经济管理学院,哈尔滨150040 [2]东北林业大学,哈尔滨150040

出　　处：《东北林业大学学报》2021年第4期112-120,共9页Journal of Northeast Forestry University

基　　金：黑龙江省哲学社会科学研究规划项目(19GJD208)。

摘　　要：依据2001-2018年中国与俄罗斯之间木质林产品贸易数据,运用复合方式分析中国与俄罗斯之间木质林产品整体贸易变化、贸易结构变化特征,运用显性比较优势指数、标准显性比较优势指数、贸易互补性指数、贸易互补性分析中国与俄罗斯之间木质林产品贸易优势变化特征,运用拓展引力模型对中国与俄罗斯之间木质林产品贸易潜力演变进行测度。结果表明:中国与俄罗斯之间木质林产品贸易优势均处于上升趋势。其中,中国的人造板、木家具、木制品,俄罗斯的原木、锯材、木浆,在对方市场具有比较优势;中国与俄罗斯木质林产品进出口贸易的互补性较强,且持续提升;俄罗斯出口与中国进口的木质林产品贸易互补性,常年高于中国出口与俄罗斯进口的木质林产品贸易互补性,原木、锯材、木浆互补性明显;中国与俄罗斯之间木质林产品贸易潜力较大,仍有广阔的拓展空间。With the 2001-2018 Sino-Russian wood forest product trade data, a composite description and analysis of the overall trade changes and trade structure characteristics of Sino-Russian wood forest products were used. Using the explicit comparative advantage index, the standard explicit comparative advantage index and the trade complementarity index to analyze the changes in the comparative advantages and trade complementarity of China and Russia’s wood forest products trade, using the extended gravity model to the potential of Sino-Russian wood forest products trade was evaluated. The results show that the comparative advantages of China and Russia’s wood forest products are on the rise;China’s wood-based panels, wood furniture, wood products, and Russian logs, sawn timber, and wood pulp have comparative advantages in each other’s markets;amd China has a comparative advantage over Russia’s wood forest products. The trade complementarity is strong and continues to increase;Russia’s trade complementarity with China’s wood forest products is higher than China’s trade with Russia, and the complementarity of logs, sawn timber, and wood pulp is obvious;and Sino-Russian wood forest products trade has great potential with broad development space.

关 键 词：木质林产品 贸易优势 贸易潜力 

分 类 号：S7-9[农业科学—林学] F768.5[经济管理—产业经济]