农村产业融合与农民收入增长——基于空间效应与门槛效应的实证研究  

Impact of rural industrial convergence on farmers income growth:an empirical study based on spatial effect and threshold effect

作　　者：王丽英[1] 丁姝羽 刘后平[2] WANG Liying;DING Shuyu;LIU Houping(College of Management Science,Chengdu University of Technology,Chengdu 610059,China;Business School,Chengdu University of Technology,Chengdu 610059,China)

机构地区：[1]成都理工大学管理科学学院,四川成都610059 [2]成都理工大学商学院,四川成都610059

出　　处：《浙江农业学报》2021年第4期761-776,共16页Acta Agriculturae Zhejiangensis

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金(20YJA790044);四川省社会科学“十三五”规划2020年度项目(SC20B007);四川省软科学研究计划(2019JDR0136)。

摘　　要：农村产业融合如何影响农民收入增长是理论和实务界关注的焦点。依据中国除香港、澳门、台湾、西藏外的30个省区市的数据,采用空间计量模型和门槛模型实证分析农村产业融合影响农民收入的空间效应和门槛效应。结果表明:中国农村产业融合水平具有“东高西低”的特征,呈现空间正相关性。以省(区、市)为区域单元,农村产业融合水平对农民收入的影响在区域内具有增收效应,但在区域间没有空间溢出效应;对农村居民经营净收入占比的影响在区域内具有正向效应,在区域间具有负向空间溢出效应;对工资性收入占比的影响在区域内和区域间均具有负向效应。在不同的经营规模下,农村产业融合水平对农民收入的影响存在门槛效应。因此,要推进农村产业融合、实现农民增收,需提升农村产业融合水平,加强区域农村产业间融合活动的联系,发挥示范效应,推进适度规模化经营,实现要素资源的最优配置。The impact of rural industrial convergence on farmers income growth is a focus both in theory and practice.Based on the data of 30 provinces(autonomous regions,municipalities)in China(Hongkong,Macao,Taiwan,Tibet not excluded),the spatial and threshold effects of the impact of rural industrial convergence on farmers income were empirically analyzed by using spatial measurement models and threshold models in this study.It is shown that the level of rural industrial convergence in China has the characteristics of“east high and west low”,and it has positive correlation with space.From the regional perspective with single province(autonomous region,municipality)as study unit,the level of rural industrial convergence has a positive effect on farmers income in the region,yet it has no spatial spillover effect within regions.The level of rural industrial convergence has a positive effect on the proportion of net business income in disposable income in the region,yet it has a negative spatial spillover effect within regions.The level of rural industrial convergence has a negative effect on the proportion of wage income in disposable income both in the region and within regions.Under different operation scales,the level of rural industrial convergence has a threshold effect on farmers income.Therefore,to promote the convergence of rural industry and to increase farmers income,it is necessary to raise the level of rural industrial convergence,strengthen the links within regional convergence activities,exert the demonstration effect of successes,promote moderate scale operation,and realize the optimal allocation of factor resources.

关 键 词：农村产业融合 农民收入 空间效应 门槛效应 

分 类 号：S-9[农业科学] F323.8[经济管理—产业经济]