技术性贸易壁垒对中国农产品出口的影响——基于“一带一路”国家的实证分析  

The Impact of Technical Barriers to Trade on China’s Agricultural Exports:Empirical Analysis Based on The Belt and Road Initiative Countries

作　　者：何敏[1] 张晓艺 HE Min;ZHANG Xiaoyi(School of International Economics,China Foreign Affairs University,Beijing 100037)

机构地区：[1]外交学院国际经济学院,北京100037

出　　处：《云南农业大学学报（社会科学版）》2021年第3期70-76,共7页Journal of Yunnan Agricultural University(Social Science)

基　　金：国家社会科学基金专项“未来3~5年共建‘一带一路’面临的机遇、风险和挑战研究”(19VDL003);国家社会科学基金青年项目“TPP协议达成对世界农产品贸易格局的影响及我国的应对策略研究”(16CGJ002)。

摘　　要：采用2004—2018年的数据对“一带一路”沿线国家的农产品技术性贸易壁垒(简称TBT)现状及其对我国农产品出口的影响进行实证分析发现:(1)西亚地区的TBT通报最为活跃,对乳制品、肉制品等食品标准要求严格;东南亚国家其次,关注酒精饮料的标签设计,以及新鲜水果、家禽等产品的检验检疫、运输方式等;南亚、中东欧和独联体地区相对较少;(2)TBT每提高1个百分点,我国向“一带一路”国家的农产品出口额将减少0.003个百分点。建议建立“一带一路”农产品TBT数据库,推进农产品技术标准互认和磋商机制,引导企业内外兼修积极应对TBT。This paper illustrates the TBT situation along The Belt and Road Initiative and estimates the impact of these TBT measures to Chinese agricultural export from 2004 to 2018.The results show that:(1)TBT notification in West Asia Region is the most active,with strict requirements on dairy products,meat products and other food standards.Southeast Asian countries lies the next place,while they emphasis the label design of alcoholic beverages,the inspection and quarantine of fresh fruits,poultry and other products,as well as the mode of transportation.There are relatively less TBT notification in South Asia,Central and Eastern Europe and the Commonwealth of Independent States.(2)According to the estimation of trade gravity model,agricultural exports to The Belt and Road Initiative Countries will reduce by 0.003 percentage if TBT increase by 1 percent.Therefore,it is suggested to establish the The and Road Initiative TBT database,and promote the mutual recognition and consultation mechanism of technical standards,and guide enterprises to actively deal with TBT.

关 键 词：技术性贸易壁垒 农产品出口 一带一路 

分 类 号：F74[经济管理—国际贸易] F31[经济管理—产业经济]