地方公共财政支出结构对新型城镇化的影响--基于空间杜宾模型的分析  

The Impact of Local Public Finance Expenditure Structure on the New Type Urbanization:An Analysis Based on the Spatial Dubin Model

作　　者：陈湘满[1] 陈瑶 CHEN Xiang-man;CHEN Yao(Xiangtan University,Xiangtan 411105,China)

机构地区：[1]湘潭大学商学院,湖南湘潭411105

出　　处：《当代财经》2021年第4期39-52,共14页Contemporary Finance and Economics

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目“乡村振兴与新型城镇化耦合协同推进机制与政策研究”(20BJL078);湖南省研究生科研创新资助项目“推进湘南湘西高质量承接产业转移的思路与对策研究”(CX20190429)。

摘　　要：坚持新发展理念,加快实施新型城镇化战略,具有非常重要的意义。基于2007-2019年我国31个省级面板数据,利用空间计量模型,研究了地方公共财政支出结构对新型城镇化的影响。研究结果表明:新型城镇化质量、新型城镇化效率及二者的耦合协调度均表现为空间溢出效应。社会服务性支出和生产性支出比重扩大对新型城镇化质量的影响呈倒"U"型,对新型城镇化效率、新型城镇化质量与效率的耦合协调度的直接与间接效应均为正,消费性支出比重扩大不利于新型城镇化。此外,生产性支出比重扩大不利于提升中部的新型城镇化效率,对东部和西部的新型城镇化有促进作用。社会服务性支出比重扩大对西部的新型城镇化质量和效率的影响为负,对东部和中部新型城镇化的影响为正,消费性支出比重扩大不利于提高东部和中部的新型城镇化质量与效率的耦合协调度。因此,要明确地方公共财政支持重点,科学界定公共财政支出的边界与权限,加强地方公共财政支出的结构管理,促进区域城镇化协调发展。It is of great significance for China to adhering to the new development concept and promoting the implementation of the new type of urbanization strategy.Based on the panel data of 31 provinces of China from 2007 to 2019,this paper uses the spatial econometric model to analyze the impact of local public finance expenditure structure on the new type urbanization.The findings show that the quality and the efficiency of the new type urbanization,as well as the coupling and coordination degree of the two,all exhibit spatial spillover effects.The expansion of the proportion of social service expenditure and production expenditure has an inverted U-shaped impact on the quality of the new type urbanization.The direct and indirect effects on the efficiency of the new type urbanization and on the coupling and coordination degree of urbanization quality and efficiency are both positive;the expansion of the proportion of the consumption expenditure is to the disadvantage of the new type urbanization.In addition,the expansion of the proportion of production expenditure is not conducive to the improvement of the efficiency of the new type urbanization in the central region,while it favors the new type urbanization in the eastern and western regions.The expansion of the proportion of social services expenditures has a negative impact on the quality and efficiency of the new type urbanization in the western region,while its impact on the new type urbanization in the eastern and central regions is positive.The expansion of the proportion of consumption expenditure is not conducive to the improvement of the coupling and coordination degree of the quality and efficiency of the new type urbanization in the eastern and central regions.Therefore,the key supporting points of the local public finance should be clarified,the border and limits of the authority of public finance expenditures should be defined scientifically,and the structural management of the local public finance expenditures should be strengthened,so as to promote the

关 键 词：地方公共财政 财政支出结构 新型城镇化 空间杜宾模型 

分 类 号：F812.45[经济管理—财政学]