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作 者:柳英[1] Liu Ying(the Economy Research Office of Institute of Taiwan Studies,Chinese Academy of Social Sciences)
机构地区:[1]中国社会科学院台湾研究所经济研究室
出 处:《台海研究》2021年第1期16-26,共11页Cross-Taiwan Strait Studies
摘 要:2020年新冠肺炎疫情的冲击叠加经济逆全球化影响,两岸经济关系面临巨大考验。但总体看,两岸经济关系反而逆势增长,贸易、投资、产业链合作均呈现深度融合的新特点。未来两岸经贸关系仍面临全球经济深度衰退、中美战略博弈长期化、民进党"台独"势力阻挠等多重问题,但大陆"内外双循环"体系构建、两岸产业链向"新经济"领域拓展、"一带一路"市场不断延伸、RCEP签署后东亚区域经济整合加速都为深化两岸经济融合发展提供了更为广阔的空间。With the dual impact of the Covid-19 pandemic and economic deglobalization in 2020, cross-Strait economic relations have been confronted with severe challenges. However, overall, cross-Strait economic relations have grown despite the adversity, and a new feature of in-depth integration has shown in trade, investment, industrial chains cooperation. In the future, cross-Strait economic and trade relations will still face multiple problems such as deepened recession of the global economy, long-term strategic conflicts between China and the United States, and the obstruction from the "Taiwan independence" forces in the DPP. However, the construction of the mainland’s "domestic and international double circulations" system, the expansion of cross-Strait industrial chain into the field of "new economy", the continuous expansion of the "Belt and Road" market and the acceleration of regional economic integration in East Asia after the signing of RCEP have provided a broader space for deepening the integrated development of cross-Strait economy.
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