基于组织行为范式的民进党当局对美政策分析  

Analysis of the DPP Administration’s Policy towards the United States since 2016: Based on the Organizational Behavior Paradigm

作　　者：田赐 Tian Ci(Graduate Institute for Taiwan Studies of Xiamen University)

机构地区：[1]厦门大学台湾研究院

出　　处：《台海研究》2021年第1期87-97,共11页Cross-Taiwan Strait Studies

摘　　要：基于决策理论中的组织行为范式分析,2016年再次执政后,民进党当局的对美政策调整是民进党自身组织特性的产物,而不是其遵循理性决策原则的结果。作为影响民进党当局决策的重要组织之一,民进党具有浓厚的西方色彩的组织意识形态、"台独"目标以及全面执政后左右公权力决策能力的提升,都在限制当局理性决策的同时,促使台湾当局对美政策调整朝着全面追随美国并不顾两岸关系的方向发展。未来如果民进党继续执政,民进党的组织特性决定了台湾当局的政策调整或朝着进一步追随美国的方向迈进;如果中国国民党能够重新执政,台湾当局对美政策则存在有限调整的可能,但组织特性决定了其同样会重视台美关系。Based on the organizational behavior paradigm in the decision-making theory, after the Democratic Progressive Party(DPP) came to power again in 2016, the DPP administration’s policy adjustment towards the United States is the result of the DPP’s own organizational characteristics, rather than the product of rational decision-making. As one of the important organizations that affect the Taiwan authorities’ decision-making, the DPP’s strong Western ideology, its goal of "Taiwan independence", and the boost of its decision-making ability all restrict Taiwan authorities’ rational decision-making, and prompt the adjustment of Taiwan’s policy towards the United States to comprehensively enhance the Taiwan-US relations, while ignoring the cross-Strait relations. If the DPP continues its rule in the future, the organizational characteristics of the DPP will determine the policy adjustment of the Taiwan authorities hence the direction of further following the United States. If Kuomintang(KMT) returns to power, there will be a limited adjustment of Taiwan authorities’ policy towards the United States, but the organizational characteristics of KMT determine that it will attach importance to Taiwan-US relations as well.

关 键 词：组织行为范式 民进党 对美政策 

分 类 号：D675.8[政治法律—政治学] D827[政治法律—中外政治制度]