中国—东盟农产品贸易潜力的实证研究  

An Empirical Study on the Potential of Agricultural Products Trade between China and ASEAN

作　　者：金鑫[1] JIN Xin(Department of Logistics Management,Tianjin Coastal Polytechnic)

机构地区：[1]天津滨海职业学院物流管理系

出　　处：《中国商论》2021年第9期4-8,共5页China Journal of Commerce

摘　　要：农产品贸易是中国与东盟贸易合作的重要领域。本文对2010-2019年中国-东盟农产品贸易潜力按国别进行了研究,并对双边贸易额、各国农业GDP、双边距离、各国人口、各国人均GDP等影响双边贸易流量的因素进行定量分析。研究表明,中国与新加坡、泰国、老挝、印尼、马来西亚、越南、柬埔寨七国的贸易潜力还有进一步发展的空间;中国与缅甸、菲律宾、文莱三国的贸易潜力已经充分挖掘。最后本文针对不同东盟国家的贸易潜力差异提出相应对策,以此提高中国-东盟农产品贸易效率并充分发掘双边的贸易潜力。Agricultural products trade is an important area of trade cooperation between China and ASEAN.This paper studies the trade potential of agricultural products between China and ASEAN by country from 2010 to 2019,and makes a quantitative analysis on the bilateral trade volume,agricultural GDP,bilateral distance,population,per capita GDP and other factors that affect the bilateral trade.Research shows that there is room for further development of the trade potential between China and Singapore,Thailand,Laos,Indonesia,Malaysia,Vietnam,and Cambodia;the trade potential between China and Myanmar,the Philippines,and Brunei has been fully tapped.This article proposes corresponding countermeasures for the differences in the trade potential of different ASEAN countries,so as to improve the efficiency of China-ASEAN agricultural trade and fully explore the bilateral trade potential.

关 键 词：中国—东盟 农产品 贸易潜力 

分 类 号：F742[经济管理—国际贸易]