道路施工管制对居民出行影响分析  

Analysis of the Impact of Road Construction Control on Residents'Travel

作　　者：黄金涛 齐国江 刘燕 何志伟 邓磊 黄廷闱 HUANG Jin-tao;QI Guo-jiang;LIU Yan;HE Zhi-wei;DENG Lei;HUANG Ting-wei(Bengbu University,Bengbu 233000,China)

机构地区：[1]蚌埠学院,蚌埠233000

出　　处：《价值工程》2021年第10期10-12,共3页Value Engineering

基　　金：2019年安徽省省级大学生创新创业项目(S201911305069)。

摘　　要：本文研究了道路施工管制对于居民出行影响的问题,采用问卷调查的形式进行数据搜集,应用非集计模型理论及居民出行方式的RP和SP组合数据,建立了交通方式划分的MNL模型,并应用Spss22.0软件对模型中的参数进行标定。通过模型拟合度和显著性检验验证了模型的有效性,通过研究单因素、双因素、三因素得到了各种交通方式的效用函数方程,利用该模型对道路施工期间蚌埠市大学城周围居民出行交通方式的分担率进行了预测。实践证明,此模型能够充分考虑到居民出行方式选择各方面的影响因素,能够为以后在道路施工期间居民的出行提供一定的帮助和依据。This paper studies the impact of road construction control on residents'travel,collects data by questionnaires,and establishes an MNL model for traffic mode division with disaggregated model theory and combined data of RP and SP of residents'travel modes,and uses Spss22.0 software to calibrate the parameters in the model.The validity of the model is verified by model fit and significance test.The utility function equations of various transportation modes are obtained by studying single factor,double factor and three factors.The model is used to predict the sharing rate of the residents around the University Town of Bengbu City during the road construction period.Practice has proved that this model can fully take into account the influencing factors of residents'choice of travel mode,and can provide certain help and basis for residents'travel during road construction in the future.

关 键 词：RP和SP 调查数据 交通方式划分 MNL模型 Spss22.0 

分 类 号：U491.2[交通运输工程—交通运输规划与管理]