湖南省新型城镇化对旅游经济影响的空间效应分析  

Analysis on the Spatial Effect of New-type Urbanization on Tourism Economy in Hunan Province

作　　者：邓吉祥 刘晓[2] DENG Ji-xiang;LIU Xiao(School of Economics and Management,Changsha University,Changsha 410022,China;Institute of Sociology,Hunan Academy of Social Sciences,Changsha 410003,China)

机构地区：[1]长沙学院经济与管理学院,长沙410022 [2]湖南省社会科学院社会学所,长沙410003

出　　处：《科技和产业》2021年第5期65-71,共7页Science Technology and Industry

基　　金：教育部国家一流本科专业(旅游管理)建设点项目(教高厅函[2019]46号-国85);湖南省哲学社会科学基金(18JD03);湖南省哲学社会科学基金(19YBA215);湖南省教育厅项目(17C0129);长沙市科技计划项目(k1705096)。

摘　　要：基于2002—2019年湖南省各市州相关指标,采用核密度估计、空间自相关和空间杜宾模型分析测度各地区新型城镇化水平、旅游经济空间依赖性及新型城镇化对区域旅游经济增长的空间溢出效应。研究结果表明,湖南省各市州城镇化进程表现为空间上的非均衡性和收敛性,且这种趋势正处于加速阶段。湖南省区域新型城镇化水平表现为两头稳定、中间波动,以及不收敛-收敛的时间变化特征。湖南省旅游经济增长存在显著的空间依赖性。城镇化率对当地旅游经济均有较强的区域内溢出效应,且区域城镇化对旅游经济的影响处于“回波效应”大于“扩散效应”阶段。地理距离因素减弱了城镇化对区域旅游经济增长的空间溢出效应,而经济因素则强化了这种空间溢出效应。Based on the related indicators ofeach region of Hunan province in 2002—2019,The models of kernel density estimation,spatial autocorrelation and spatial Durbin was used to measure regional urbanization level,spatial dependence of regional tourism economy and the spatial spillover effect of new urbanization on the regional tourism of economic growth.The results show that the process of urbanization in Hunan province is characterized by spatial non-equilibrium and convergence,are in the phase of accelerating.Hunan's new-type urbanization level is characterized by stability at both ends and fluctuation in the middle,and shows the regional characteristics of nonconvergence-convergence.There is significant spatial dependence on the economic growth of tourism in Nan Province.The urbanization rate has strong intra-regional spillover effect on local tourism economy,and the impact of regional urbanization on tourism economy is in the stage of“echo effect”greater than“diffusion effect”.Geographical distance weakens the spatial spillover effect of urbanization on regional tourism economic growth,while economic factors strengthen the spatial spillover effect.

关 键 词：新型城镇化 旅游经济 空间效应 溢出 

分 类 号：F592.99[经济管理—旅游管理]