疫情阴影下的危机应对:2020年中国经济外交形势分析  

Crisis Response in the Shadow of Pandamin:Analysis of China's Economic Diplomacy in 2020

作　　者：李巍[1] 宋亦明 Li Wei;Song Yiming(School of International Studies,Renmin University of China)

机构地区：[1]中国人民大学国际关系学院

出　　处：《战略决策研究》2021年第3期3-35,101,102,共35页Journal of Strategy and Decision-Making

基　　金：中国人民大学明德品牌研究计划“中国经济外交的理论与实践”(项目编号:14XNJ006)课题的资助。

摘　　要：2020年,疫情全球大流行以及中国与部分国家经济关系的恶化致使中国经济外交面临着更为严峻的外部环境。一方面,疫情严重拖累了全球生产、贸易和投资等经济活动,对国际政治互信及全球治理协作等也造成了负面冲击。另一方面,中美贸易战由“关税战”向“技术战”全面蔓延,“金融战”也处于边缘状态。同时,受政治关系的影响,中澳和中印经济关系也出现了全面倒退。面对上述复杂的局势,中国经济外交继续砥砺前行,不仅在全球经济治理、区域经济合作和双边经济协调上取得了诸多进展;更是在贸易协定外交和投资协定外交两大领域双双实现了重大突破,成功签署了《区域全面经济伙伴关系协议》并完成了《中欧全面投资协定》的谈判。展望2021年,拜登新政府上台执政将可能带来全球经济治理格局的重大变化,也为中美经济关系的调整与改变带来新的契机;“一带一路”建设将进入高质量发展阶段,其实施重点可能转向推动各国卫生合作与经济复苏;在亚太经济一体化与区域经济合作制度化上,中国经济外交也有望取得更多进展。In 2020,the global pandamic and the deterioration of economic relations between China and some countries have posed challenges to China's economic diplomacy.On the one hand,the pandamic has severely hampered global economic activities from production,trade,to investment,which exerted negative impacts on international cooperation and global governance.On the other hand,the trade war between China and the U.S.is spilling over from a"tariff war"to a"technology war",and even to a"financial war".At the same time,influenced by political relations,Sino-Australian and Sino-Indian economic relations have also suffered a comprehensive retrogression.Amid a time of multiple challenges,China has continued to forge ahead its economic diplomacy.It has achieved progress in global economic governance as well as bilateral and regional economic cooperation.The successful signing of the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement and the completion of negotiations on the China-EU Comprehensive Investment Agreement are a couple of examples to name.Looking ahead to 2021,the new Biden administration will probably bring about major changes in the global economic governance and new opportunities for adjustment of China-U.S.economic relations.Meanwhile,the"Belt and Road Initiative"will enter a stage of high-quality development,and its implementation focus may shift to promoting health cooperation and economic recovery among countries.China's economic diplomacy is also expected to further the institutionalization of economic integration and regional economic cooperation in the Asia-Pacific.

关 键 词：抗疫外交 中美经贸关系 全球经济治理 《区域全面经济伙伴关系协议》 《中欧全面投资协定》 

分 类 号：F125[经济管理—世界经济] D820[政治法律—政治学]