基于ANP-可拓云模型的地铁系统韧性评价  

Subway System Resilience Evaluation in Based on ANP-Extension Cloud Model

作　　者：郭庆军[1] 郝倩雯 王艺洁 王静 Guo Qingjun;Hao Qianwen;Wang Yijie;Wang Jing(School of Civil and Architecture Engineering,Xi’an Technological University,Xi’an 710021,China)

机构地区：[1]西安工业大学建筑工程学院,陕西西安710021

出　　处：《系统仿真学报》2021年第4期943-950,共8页Journal of System Simulation

基　　金：国家自然科学基金(51374165);陕西省软科学研究项目(2020KRM149)。

摘　　要：提升地铁施工现场的安全防御能力和抗风险水平,需提高地铁施工现场安全系统的风险抵抗能力和事故恢复能力。将韧性理论引入地铁建设工程的安全管理,通过韧性理论分析界定适用于地铁施工现场安全系统的韧性内涵,依据文献计量法和德尔菲法筛选韧性评价指标,通过构建网络层次分析法-可拓云综合评价模型进行系统韧性评价,并以西安地铁十四号线车站为例,进行模型的应用。评价结果与实际工程情况相符,评价模型有效,有助于为地铁建设工程安全管理建立基于韧性理论的系统全过程分析方法。In order to improve the safety defense ability and risk resistance level of the subway construction site, it is necessary to improve the risk resistance and accident recovery ability of the safety system. The resilience theory is applied in the safety management of subway construction engineering by defining whether the resilience connotation is applicable to the safety system. According to the bibliometric method and Delphi method, the resilience evaluation index is selected and the system resilience is evaluated by constructing comprehensive evaluation model of ANP-extension cloud. The Xi’an 14 th Metro Line is taken as an applilation example. The evaluation result is consistent with the actual engineering applilation, the evaluation model is effective, and provides a full process analysis method based on the resilience theory for safety management of subway construction engineering.

关 键 词：安全系统韧性 地铁施工 韧性评价 可拓云模型 

分 类 号：X947[环境科学与工程—安全科学] TP391[自动化与计算机技术—计算机应用技术]