撤县设区对房地产市场影响的实证研究  

Empirical Study on the Effect of County-to-District Reforms on Real Estate Market

作　　者：金晶[1] 陈多长[1,2] 黄忠华 杜雪君 Jin Jing;Chen Duozhang;Huang Zhonghua;Du Xuejun(School of Management,Zhejiang University of Technology,Hangzhou 310023,Zhejiang,China;China Academy of Housing&Real Estate,Zhejiang University of Technology,Hangzhou 310023,Zhejiang,China;Faculty of Economics and Management,East China Normal University,Shanghai 200062,China;School of Business,Shanghai Normal University,Shanghai 200234,China)

机构地区：[1]浙江工业大学管理学院,浙江杭州310023 [2]浙江工业大学中国住房与房地产研究院,浙江杭州310023 [3]华东师范大学经济与管理学部,上海200062 [4]上海师范大学商学院,上海200234

出　　处：《地理科学》2021年第3期473-480,共8页Scientia Geographica Sinica

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(72074079,71774143);浙江省哲学社会科学规划课题一般项目(20NDJC048YB);浙江省软科学研究计划项目(2018C25020);国家社会科学基金项目(17BGL130);教育部哲学社会科学研究重大课题攻关项目(18JZD033)资助。

摘　　要：撤县设区扩展城市空间和功能,加速要素流动和资源配置,进而影响城市房地产价格。采用倾向得分匹配法和双重差分法检验分析撤县设区改革对中国房地产市场的影响效应和机制。研究发现:①撤县设区改革对房价具有显著性的抑制效应,且该效应具有短期性;②分城市来看,I型大城市和特大城市实施撤县设区后,对房价上涨有更显著的抑制效应;③城市扩张越强,撤县设区对于房价的抑制作用越强,而人口流入、基础设施建设会适当降低撤县设区对房价的抑制效应。The county-to-district reform expands urban space and functions,accelerates the flow of factors and the allocation of resources,and thus affects the urban real estate prices.Using the propensity score matching method and difference-in-difference method to test and analyze the effect and mechanism of the county-to-district reform on China's real estate market.The study shows that:1)The county-to-district reform has a significant restraining effect on real estate price,and the effect is short-term;2)In terms of cities,Type I large cities and mega cities will have a more significant restraining effect on house price rises after the county-to-district reform;3)The stronger the urban expansion is,the stronger the restraining effect on the real estate price is,while the population inflow and infrastructure construction reduces the restraining effect on the housing price.

关 键 词：撤县设区 房价 PSM-DID方法 城市扩张 公共服务 

分 类 号：F293.3[经济管理—国民经济]