不同毁伤律下子母弹对目标毁伤概率仿真计算  

Simulation Calculation of Damage Probability of Submunition to Target with Different Damaging Laws

作　　者：王兆胜 郑云飞 WANG Zhaosheng;ZHENG Yunfei(Department of Fire, Army Academy of Artillery and Air Defense Nanjing Campus, Nanjing 211132, China)

机构地区：[1]陆军炮兵防空兵学院南京校区火力系,南京211132

出　　处：《兵器装备工程学报》2021年第5期139-143,共5页Journal of Ordnance Equipment Engineering

基　　金：国家自然科学基金青年项目(61801512)。

摘　　要：为进行不同命中毁伤律下炮射子母弹对目标的毁伤概率仿真计算,给出了服从正态分布的诸元误差和母弹散布误差抽样法,及服从椭圆和椭圆环内均匀分布的子弹误差抽样法。通过计算不同毁伤律每一枚命中子弹的毁伤概率,建立了指数毁伤律、零一毁伤律和阶梯毁伤律下子母弹对目标毁伤的3种抽样模型。分析毁伤概率的估算方法及置信区间,进行了算例计算与分析,为毁伤概率的仿真计算提供了新思路。In order to simulate the damage probability of gun launched submunition to a target under different hitting damage law,samples of data error and dispersion error of carrier which are on normal distribution,samples of error of submunition which are on uniform distribution in ellipse and elliptic ring were given.Based on the calculation of the damage probability of each bullet under different damage law,three sampling models of submunition damage to a target were established,which are exponential damaging law,zero-one damaging law and steps damaging law.The estimation method and confidence interval of damage probability were discussed,and the calculation and analysis of example were given.It provides a new idea for the submunition calculation of damage probability.

关 键 词：子母弹 命中毁伤律 毁伤概率 仿真法 统计试验法 

分 类 号：TJ015[兵器科学与技术—兵器发射理论与技术]