中柬自贸区双边经济效应研究  

Research on Bilateral Economic Effects of China-Cambodia Free Trade Area

作　　者：李燕婷 王盛晓 焦晓松 Li Yanting;Wang Shengxiao;Jiao Xiaosong(School of Economics and Management,Dali University,Dali,Yunnan 671003,China;Institute of Economic Research,Dali University,Dali,Yunnan 671003,China)

机构地区：[1]大理大学经济与管理学院,云南大理671003 [2]大理大学经济研究所,云南大理671003

出　　处：《大理大学学报》2021年第5期38-42,共5页Journal of Dali University

基　　金：大理大学博士启动费基金项目(KY1719215410);云南省哲学社会科学规划重点项目(ZD201703);中国服务贸易协会课题(FWMYKT-202110)。

摘　　要：以中柬自贸区贸易谈判完成为背景,采用世界银行和联合国贸发会议合作开发的世界贸易整合解决方案(WITS)数据库对中柬两国的贸易现状进行分析。在此基础上,模拟自贸区成立后中国对柬埔寨出口农产品征收零关税、柬埔寨对中国出口制造品关税水平减半的情形下,对整体贸易福利和具体的产品效应产生的影响进行分析。以此为依据,提出中国目前在与美国贸易摩擦升级、对欧出口增幅乏力、对东南亚国家出口快速增长的国际大环境下,应积极推动中日韩+东盟自贸区的谈判进程的对策建议。This study carries out the research under the background of the completion of China-Cambodia Free Trade Zone trade negotiations,and analyzes the current trade situation of China and Cambodia by using the world trade integrated solutions(WITS)database developed by the world bank and the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development.On this basis,this paper analyzes the overall trade welfare and specific product effects with a simulation of China's zero tariff on Cambodian agricultural products and Cambodia's halved tariff on goods made in China.Accordingly,it is proposed that China should actively promote the negotiation process of China-Japan-ROK and ASEAN Free Trade Area under the current international environment of trade friction upgrading with the United States,the weak export growth to Europe and the rapid exports growth to Southeast Asian countries.

关 键 词：中国-柬埔寨 自贸区 关税削减 经济效应 贸易福利 

分 类 号：F752.7[经济管理—国际贸易]