新疆南疆地区城镇化、产业升级与人口集聚--基于县域统计资料与SDEM模型  

Industrial Upgrading,Urbanization and Population Agglomeration in South Xinjiang:Based on County Statistics and SDEM Models

作　　者：欧阳金琼[1,2] 周传荣 李文耀 OUYANG Jin-qiong;ZHOU Chuan-rong;LI Wen-yao(College of Economic Management,Tarim University,Alar Xinjiang 843300,China;South-Xinjiang Institute of Social and Economic Development,Tarim University,Alar Xinjiang 843300,China)

机构地区：[1]塔里木大学经济管理学院,新疆阿拉尔843300 [2]塔里木大学南疆社会经济发展研究院,新疆阿拉尔843300

出　　处：《西北人口》2021年第3期117-126,共10页Northwest Population Journal

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目“:产业转型升级背景下新疆少数民族就业结构的演变与优化研究”(项目编号:17BGL148)。

摘　　要：通过城镇化与产业升级带动南疆人口集聚,确保新疆社会稳定与长治久安,是中央近期制订的重要治疆方略之一。文章运用新疆南疆地区县域统计资料与SDEM模型,研究了城镇化、产业升级对南疆人口集聚的影响。结果发现:新型城镇化对人口集聚有一定促进作用,但产业升级并未对人口集聚产生积极影响。同时发现,产业结构、人均GDP等经济因素对南疆人口集聚作用有限,而人居环境、地理区位、兵地属性、政府政策等非经济因素的影响反而更加明显。由此提出了增加城镇投入改善人居环境、承接劳动密集型产业增加就业机会,制定就业与社保优惠政策提高福利待遇,创建兵地协调与合作机制提升人口集聚效率等政策建议。It is an important way to ensure society stability and is also an important strategy to administer Xinjiang through Industrial upgrading and urbanization to aggregate population in southern Xinjiang.Using County statistical data of South Xinjiang and spatial measurement model named SDEM,this paper studies the impact of industrial upgrading and urbanization on population agglomeration.The results show that the new urbanization has a certain promotion effect on population agglomeration,but the industrial structure upgrading has no positive impact on population agglomeration.At the same time,it is not economic factors such as per capita GDP but non-economic factors such as human settlements,geographic location,XPCC or non-XPCC property,and government policies have great influences on population agglomeration.Therefore,we put forward such policy suggestions as increasing urban infrastructure investment to improve living environment,undertaking labor-intensive industry transfer to increase employment opportunities,making preferential policies for employment and social security to improve migrant population’s welfare,and establishing the coordination and cooperation mechanism between XPCC and local governments to improve the efficiency of population agglomeration。

关 键 词：新疆南疆 人口集聚 产业升级 城镇化 SDEM模型 

分 类 号：F291.1[经济管理—国民经济]