我国天然气资源安全评价研究  

Research on Safety Evaluation of Natural Gas Resources in China

作　　者：王陆新 潘继平 王越 WANG Luxin;PAN Jiping;WANG Yue(Oil&Gas Resources Strategy Research Center,Ministry of Natural Resources,Beijing 100034,China)

机构地区：[1]自然资源部油气资源战略研究中心,北京100034

出　　处：《国土资源情报》2021年第5期46-50,共5页Land and Resources Information

基　　金：自然资源部地质勘查与矿产资源管理研究项目“油气资源供给保障战略研究”(2019YQZYGY)。

摘　　要：本文采用熵权系数法和综合评分法,从数量、质量和生态三个维度对我国"天然气安全"进行定量评价。2008-2019年我国天然气资源安全评价分析显示,天然气资源安全整体处于"值得关注(C级)"状态。从指标权重分析看,提升国内产量、加大战略储备和控制进口价格是提升天然气数量安全度的有效路径;提高技术储采比、降低国际气价年度波动幅度、提高进口多元化程度和提升资源利用效率是提升天然气质量、生态安全度的有效路径。The entropy weight coefficient method and the comprehensive scoring method are used to quantitatively evaluate the"gas safety degree"from three dimensions of quantity,quality and ecology.The results show that in 2008-2019,all of the average quantity,quality and ecological safety of China’s gas resources were in a state of"worthy attention".From the analysis of influencing factors,increasing domestic production,increasing strategic reserves and controlling import prices are effective ways to increase the safety of gas quantity;increasing reserve and production ratio,controlling international gas prices,increasing the degree of import diversifification and improving the efficiency of consumption utilization are effective ways to improve gas quality and ecological safety.

关 键 词：天然气资源 安全评估 指标体系 熵权系数法 

分 类 号：F426.22[经济管理—产业经济]