Does the Belt and Road Initiative Increase the Carbon Emission Intensity of Paticipating Countries?  

作　　者：Yan Wu Chunlai Chen Cong Hu 

机构地区：[1]School of Economics,Beijing Technology and Business University,China [2]Crawford School of Public Policy,Australian National University,Australia [3]School of Economics and Resource Management,Beijing Normal University,China

出　　处：《China & World Economy》2021年第3期1-25,共25页中国与世界经济（英文版）

基　　金：the National Social Science Foundation of China(No.20CGJ019).

摘　　要：The impact that the Belt and Road Initiative(BRI)has had on carbon emissions is a hotly debated issue.Using a panel dataset of 178 countries from 2002 to 2017,and applying the quantile difference-in-difference method in different industries,this study finds that,first,the BRI overall tends to reduce the carbon emission intensity of BRI countries.Second,the impact of BRI on reducing the carbon emission intensity is significant for BRI countries at higher(0.8 and 0.9)and lower(0.2 and 0.3)carbon emission intensity quantiles but it is insignificant for those at medium levels.Third,the BRI has significant impacts on reducing carbon emission intensity in the energy-intensive industries,and this effect is the highest at the quantile level of 0.9 for all three industries considered here:transportation,electric and heating,and manufacturing and construction.These results indicate that establishing BRI cooperation with China will improve the environment and enhance the sustainable development ability of BRI countries.

关 键 词：Belt and Road Initiative carbon emission intensity DIFFERENCE-IN-DIFFERENCE quantile regression 

分 类 号：F42[经济管理—产业经济]