海外矿产投资活动中的东道国风险评价研究——以海外黄金矿产投资为例  

Research on Risk Evaluation of Host Country Risks in Overseas Mineral Investment Activities —Taking Overseas Gold Mining Investment as an Example

作　　者：凌嘉鸿 侯杰[1] 郭对明 李亮 赵冠楠 李国清[1] LING Jiahong;HOU Jie;GUO Duiming;LI Liang;ZHAO Guannan;LI Guoqing(School of Civil and Resource Engineering University of Science and Technology Beijing,Beijing 100083,China;China Gold Association,Beijing 100011,China)

机构地区：[1]北京科技大学土木与资源工程学院,北京100083 [2]中国黄金协会,北京100011

出　　处：《矿业研究与开发》2021年第5期182-187,共6页Mining Research and Development

基　　金：国家重点研发计划项目(2018YFC0604403);中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目(FRF-BR-18-003A).

摘　　要：为了科学评估中资企业海外矿产投资中面临的东道国风险,引入云模型和物元理论构建了海外矿产投资活动中的东道国风险评价模型。通过对海外矿产资源投资东道国风险进行识别,建立了海外矿产投资活动中的东道国风险评价指标体系,综合运用层次分析法与熵值法确定了组合权重,并以8个投资较为集中、黄金矿产资源比较丰富的国家为案例进行了应用验证,评价结果与实际中资企业海外黄金矿产投资的区位选择一致,说明该模型具备科学有效性,可为我国矿产企业海外投资区位选择提供参考。In order to scientifically evaluate the host country risks faced by Chinese-funded enterprises in overseas mineral investment,the cloud model and matter-element theory were introduced to build the host country risk evaluation model for overseas mineral investment activities.By identifying the host country risk of overseas mineral resources investment,the host country risk evaluation index system was established for overseas mineral resources investment activities,and the combination weights were determined by using the analytic hierarchy process method and entropy method.Then,eight countries with concentrated investment and rich gold mineral resources are taken as examples to verify the application of this model.The evaluation results are consistent with the actual location selection of overseas gold mineral investment by Chinese-funded enterprises,indicating that the model has scientific validity and can be used for the location selection of overseas investment of Chinese-funded mineral enterprises.

关 键 词：海外矿产 投资东道国 黄金 风险评价 云物元模型 

分 类 号：F407.1[经济管理—产业经济]