2009—2019年川西林盘格局变化及驱动力研究——以成都崇州市为例  

Changes and Driving Forces of Linpan in Southern Sichuan from 2009 to 2019:Taking Chongzhou City in Chengdu as an Example

作　　者：李鑫 吴潇 段娅楠 张志斌 LI Xin;WU Xiao;DUAN Yanan;ZHANG Zhibin

机构地区：[1]四川大学建筑与环境学院建筑系 [2]四川大学建筑与环境学院 [3]四川大学建筑与环境学院环境科学与工程系 [4]深圳市华阳国际工程设计股份有限公司

出　　处：《小城镇建设》2021年第5期96-103,共8页DEVELOPMENT OF SMALL CITIES & TOWNS

摘　　要：随着城镇化的快速推进,在城市扩张、农业转型、生活方式变化等多重因素影响下,许多具有历史文化价值村落的保护与发展受到了严重挑战,川西林盘作为四川地区历史与文化的载体,数量急剧减少的问题亟需解决。本文利用GIS、RS技术和Logistic回归方法,对四川省成都市崇州2009—2019年林盘变化情况及引发变化的驱动力进行分析。研究发现:(1)市中心扩张导致周边林盘数量与密度减小明显;(2)各个乡镇的林盘多呈聚集分布,但市中心周边乡镇的林盘聚集程度明显下降;(3)变化的驱动力排序为:距市中心距离>固定资产投资>高程>耕地资源>人口数量>坡度>距主要道路距离;(4)林盘变化与新农村聚居点等政策实施具有一定关联;(5)距离主要道路越远、人口越多、区位越好的区域,林盘越趋于稳定不易发生改变;(6)建议重视市中心周边地区林盘的保护、注重其文化价值转化、进行空间升级与现代化理念注入、加强制度保障等。With the rapid urbanization,agricultural transformation,and lifestyle changes,the protection and development of many historic villages have been severely challenged.Linpan,as a carrier of Sichuan's history and culture,has been drastically reduced.The problem needs to be solved urgently.Using GIS,RS technology,and the Logistic regression method,this paper analyzed the changes and the driving forces of Chongzhou's Linpan from 2009 to 2019.It was found that:(1)urban expansion led to a significant decrease in the quantity and density of Linpan in the city center;(2)most of the Linpan in each town are clustered,but the degree of Linpan's density in the city center has decreased significantly;(3)the driving forces of change were ranked as follows:distance from the city center>fixed-asset investment>elevation>cultivated field>population size>slope>distance from significant roads>population size>gross domestic product;(4)the changes of Linpan had connections with the implementation of policies such as new rural settlements;(5)the stability of Linpan has a positive connection with the distance to the main road,the surrounded population,and the location economy;(6)It is recommended to pay attention to the protection of Linpan in the surrounding areas of the city center,accelerate the transformation of its cultural value,carry out spatial upgrading and modernization,and improve institutional protection.

关 键 词：川西林盘 变化 驱动力 成都崇州市 

分 类 号：TU986[建筑科学—城市规划与设计]