基于修正区间模糊Shapley值的“一带一路”PPP项目利益分配模型  

Benefit Distribution Model of“The Belt and Road”PPP ProjectBased on Modified Interval Fuzzy Shapley Value

作　　者：王亦虹[1,2] 田平野 邓斌超[1] 戎娜娜 WANG Yi-hong;TIAN Ping-ye;DENG Bin-chao;RONG Na-na(School of Management,Tianjin University of Technology,Tianjin 300384,China;Institute of Central and Eastern Europe,Tianjin University of Technology,Tianjin 300384,China)

机构地区：[1]天津理工大学管理学院,天津300384 [2]天津理工大学中东欧研究院,天津300384

出　　处：《运筹与管理》2021年第5期168-175,共8页Operations Research and Management Science

基　　金：天津市科技计划项目(18ZLZXZF00590);国家自然科学基金青年项目(71602144);天津市教委人文社科重大项目(2017JWZD15)。

摘　　要：多方合作的“一带一路”基础设施PPP项目是互联互通的基石,公平合理地分配项目利益则是保障其顺利实施的关键。为了构建科学的利益分配模型,考虑项目参与方组建的合作联盟预期收益为模糊数且分配时受多种因素影响,本文首先,基于区间模糊Shapley值构建“一带一路”PPP项目利益分配初始模型;然后,识别出利益分配影响因素并量化参与方的投入分担程度,据此修正初始的利益分配模型;最后,结合实际案例,将该模型与现存方法进行对比分析,结果显示本模型的可操作性更强,针对影响因素系数的测算更为精准,整体具有显著优势。“The Belt and Road”infrastructure PPP projects under multi-party cooperation are the foundation of connectivity.To ensure effective implementation ofprojects requires a scientific distribution of benefits.To build a reasonable profit distribution model,we argue that the expected benefits of the cooperative alliance established by the project participants are fuzzy and affected by many factors.Firstly,this paper builds an initial benefit distribution model which is constructed based on interval fuzzy Shapley value,then the influence factors of benefit distribution are identified and the input sharing degree of participants is quantified to introduce the initial model for correction,and based on this,the benefit distribution model based on the modified interval fuzzy Shapley value is further obtained.Finally,thispaperapplies this model to examples.The results show this model can accurately measure the influence factor,which has significant advantages as a whole.

关 键 词：利益分配 模糊联盟 区间模糊Shapley值 “一带一路”PPP项目 

分 类 号：F407.9[经济管理—产业经济]