“十四五”期间我国煤炭供需趋势分析  

Trend analysis of China’s coal supply and demand during the 14th Five-Year Plan

作　　者：孙超 姜琳 袁广玉 SUN Chao;JIANG Lin;YUANG Guang-yu(Information Institute and China Coal Information Institute,Ministry of Emergency Management of the People's Republic of China,Beijing 100029,China)

机构地区：[1]应急管理部信息研究院,北京100029

出　　处：《煤炭工程》2021年第5期193-196,共4页Coal Engineering

摘　　要：为了分析"十四五"期间我国煤炭供需趋势,在结合煤炭供需量数据样本量小的特征之上,利用相关向量机(RVM)算法,构建了基于RVM的煤炭供需预测模型,对我国"十四五"期间的煤炭供需量进行了预测。研究结果表明,"十四五"期间我国煤炭产量及消费量仍处于稳步上升阶段,煤矿企业安全生产仍是"十四五"期间的主抓问题,并从政府监管、企业风险防控及矿山智能化建设三个方面提出了相关建议。In order to analyze the trend of coal supply and demand in China during the 14 th Five-Year Plan period, a coal supply and demand prediction model based on RVM was constructed using the relevance vector machine(RVM) algorithm, considering the small sample scale of coal supply and demand data. The coal supply and demand during the 14 th Five-Year Plan period was forecasted. The research results show that during the "14 th Five-Year Plan" period, China’s coal production and consumption increases steadily. Coal mine safety production is still the main issue during the 14 th Five-Year Plan period. And relevant suggestions are put forward from the perspectives of government supervision, enterprise risk control and coal mine intelligent construction.

关 键 词：“十四五” 煤炭供需量 相关向量机 矿山智能化 

分 类 号：TD-05[矿业工程] F407.21[经济管理—产业经济]