FTA战略选择下优惠原产地规则的影响因素研究——以中澳FTA原产地规则为例的经验考察  

Research on the Influencing Factors of Preferential Rules of Origin Under FTA Framework:A Case of Rules of Origin in China-Australia FTA

作　　者：郑航 王海燕[2] ZHENG Hang;WANG Hai-yan

机构地区：[1]南京大学商学院 [2]华东师范大学经济学院

出　　处：《国际经贸探索》2021年第5期66-81,共16页International Economics and Trade Research

基　　金：国家社科重大课题(20ZDA100);国家自然科学基金面上项目(71773048);中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金课题(010414370112)。

摘　　要：文章在Cadot et al.(2006)的政治经济学模型基础之上,首先构建了适用于中澳FTA的理论框架,进而分析中澳优惠原产地规则制定的影响因素。研究表明,缔约方进行FTA原产地规则谈判时,产业发展水平、优惠关税幅度是缔约方考量的重要因素。一国产业发展水平越高,另一国就越有动力在FTA谈判中提出制定严格的原产地规则,限制对方优势产业进入本国,以达到保护本国产业的目的。FTA优惠关税幅度越高,缔约方防止第三国"搭便车"和贸易偏转的动机就越强,越倾向制定严格的优惠原产地规则。进一步研究发现,对本国价值含量较高的产品而言,厂商为满足本国消费和销出余量进行产业游说以获取严格优惠原产地规则的可能性较低。因此,为制定合理、合情、合利的优惠原产地规则,有必要从内生贸易政策视角理解优惠原产地规则发挥的政策优势。Based on the political economic model of Cadot et al.(2006),this paper constructs a theoretical framework applicable to China-Australia FTA,and analyzes the factors which influence the formulation of preferential rules of origin of China and Australia.The research shows that when conducting the negotiations on FTA rules of origin,the level of industrial development and the range of preferential tariffs are the important factors to be considered by the contracting parties.The higher the industrial development level of one country is,the more motivated the other country will be to formulate strict rules of origin in FTA negotiations to restrict the advantageous industries of the former to enter it,so as to protect its own industries.Besides,the higher the range of FTA preferential tariffs is,the stronger the incentive for the contracting parties to prevent the third country from"free riding"and trade deflection is and the more inclined they are to formulate strict preferential rules of origin.Further research reveals that for the products with high domestic value content,the manufacturers are less likely to lobby for strict preferential rules of origin in order to meet domestic consumption and sales surplus.Therefore,in order to formulate fair,reasonable and profitable preferential rules of origin,it is necessary to understand the policy advantages of preferential rules of origin from the perspective of endogenous trade policy.

关 键 词：优惠原产地规则 限制指数 产业发展 优惠关税幅度 本国价值含量 

分 类 号：F744[经济管理—国际贸易]