基于土地利用系数的光伏发电并网体量预测研究  

Research on PV Generation Connection Prediction Based on Soil Utilization Coefficient

作　　者：王征 祁晓枫 杨雪瑞 张凤舜 吉胜钧 WANG Zheng;QI Xiaofeng;YANG Xuerui;ZHANG Fengshun;JI Shengjun(State Grid Liaoning Electric Power Co.,Ltd.,Shenyang,Liaoning 110006,China;Northeast Branch of State Grid Co.,Ltd.,Shenyang,Liaoning 110181,China)

机构地区：[1]国网辽宁省电力有限公司,辽宁沈阳110006 [2]国家电网有限公司东北分部,辽宁沈阳110181

出　　处：《东北电力技术》2021年第4期32-34,38,共4页Northeast Electric Power Technology

摘　　要：近十几年来,光伏发电已成为全球范围内增长最快的能源方式,是众多国家控制碳排放量的重要手段。首先分析了我国光伏发电的现状,分析了光伏产业对土地利用的矛盾和建筑物发展光伏的政策;再次研究了综合考虑光伏产业补贴成本的来源,对集中和分布式光伏并网的收益情况进行对比;最后构建了基于土地利用系数的光伏容量预测模型,计算出一定建筑用地发展光伏的体量。In the last decade,the PV power generation has become the fastest growing energy of the world,which is an important means of many countries to control carbon emissions.Firstly,it analyzes the current situation of PV power generation in China.The contradiction between PV industry and land use,and the policy of building PV development.Secondly,it considers the cost sources of PV industry subsidies.It compares the revenue of centralized and distributed PV grid connected.Finally,the prediction model of PV capacity based on land use coefficient is constructed,and the volume of PV in certain building land is calculated.

关 键 词：光伏发电 土地利用 光伏消纳 体量预测 

分 类 号：TM615[电气工程—电力系统及自动化]