兰新高速铁路沿线区域可达性及经济发展影响研究  

Study on the Influence of Lanzhou–Urumchi High Speed Railway on Regional Accessibility and Economic Development

作　　者：马丽黎[1] 朱亚军 熊一帆 MA Lili;ZHU Yajun;XIONG Yifan(Economics and Management School,Lanzhou Jiaotong University,Lanzhou 730070,Gansu,China;Electronics and Information Engineering School,Lanzhou Jiaotong University,Lanzhou 730070,Gansu,China)

机构地区：[1]兰州交通大学经济管理学院,甘肃兰州730070 [2]兰州交通大学电子与信息工程学院,甘肃兰州730070

出　　处：《铁道运输与经济》2021年第5期44-50,共7页Railway Transport and Economy

基　　金：国家铁路局科技研究计划项目(KF-2019-005-A);教育部人文社会科学研究项目(18YJCZH0440);甘肃省哲学社会科学规划项目(YB071)。

摘　　要：兰新高速铁路是甘肃、青海和新疆铁路网的重要组成部分,对于助力我国西部大开发意义深远。构建可达性模型及双重差分模型,选取2012—2014年与2017—2019年作为兰新高速铁路开通前后数据,对沿线地区可达性与经济发展所产生的影响进行分析。结果表明,兰新高速铁路运营前后可达性格局不变,但改善程度存在空间差异,中部地区城市改善程度较优;高速铁路开通有利于带动区域经济整体提升,促进区域经济综合协调发展。The Lanzhou–Urumchi high speed railway is an important part of the railway network connecting Gansu, Qinghai, and Xinjiang, and it is of far-reaching significance to facilitating China’s western development. An accessibility model and a double difference model were built to analyze the impact of the Lanzhou–Urumchi high speed railway on regional accessibility and economic development of the areas along the line before(2012–2014) and after(2017–2019) its opening. The results show that the regional accessibility remains unchanged before and after the operation of this railway line. However, there is a spatial difference in improvement, that of central cities being better. The opening of the high speed railway is conducive to driving the overall economic development of the region, and promoting the comprehensive and coordinated development of regional economies.

关 键 词：兰新高速铁路 区域经济 双重差分模型 可达性模型 实证分析 

分 类 号：U238[交通运输工程—道路与铁道工程] F530[经济管理—产业经济]