新冠疫情冲击下中国稻谷价格上涨情势、影响因素及调控措施  

China’s Rice Price under the Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic:The Price Increase,Influencing Factors and Intervention Measures

作　　者：李俊杰[1] 李建平[1] 袁月 张晓 李文娟[1] LI Junjie;LI Jianping;YUAN Yue;ZHANG Xiao;LI Wenjuan

机构地区：[1]中国农业科学院农业资源与农业区划研究所,北京100081 [2]天津市农业科学院农作物研究所,天津300192

出　　处：《农业经济问题》2021年第5期90-98,共9页Issues in Agricultural Economy

基　　金：国家现代农业产业技术体系“水稻产业经济岗位科学家项目”(编号:CARS-01-48);农业农村部课题“稻谷市场分析预警”(编号:11200009)。

摘　　要：新冠疫情对全球经济、贸易产生的巨大冲击以及在粮食安全、国际关系等方面产生的连锁反应,使中国稻谷价格波动的情势和调控局面更加复杂和敏感。通过稻谷、大米等关联产品价格变化的比较分析,结果表明,2020年中国稻谷价格涨幅处于合理区间,呈现"籼强粳弱"和"稻强米弱"、副产品价格上升明显、与国际价格联动偏弱等特征。新冠疫情与自然灾害、国际粮食局势变化及国内猪周期引起的饲料粮需求增加等因素相叠加,造成了稻谷供求形势的预期变化,推动中国稻谷价格上涨。政府在实施合理调控防范投机炒作等应急措施的基础上,要发挥粮价上涨的积极意义,从长远层面布局粮食安全,提高种粮大户抗风险能力、稳定稻谷产能。Under the huge impact of COVID-19,the fluctuations of China’s rice price and governmental intervention are more complicated and attract much attention.Through comparative analysis of the rice price and other related products, it was concluded that the increase of rice price in China was in a reasonable range.The main factors promoting the rise are the new epidemic superimposed with natural disasters, changes in international food situation and increase in feed demand caused by domestic pig cycle.It is necessary to deploy food security from a long-term perspective except taking emergency measures.

关 键 词：稻谷价格 粮价上涨 价格影响因素 调控措施 

分 类 号：F323.7[经济管理—产业经济]