电子商务发展对产业结构升级的异质性影响——基于中国省际面板数据的实证分析  

The Heterogeneous Impact of E-Commerce Development on Industrial Structure Upgrading——Empirical Analysis Based on China's Provincial Panel Data

作　　者：赵晓军 刘晓莹 桑义汉 易帅湘 Zhao Xiaojun;Liu Xiaoying;Sang Yihan;Yi Shuaixiang(School of Economics and Management,Beijing Jiaotong University,Beijing 100044,China)

机构地区：[1]北京交通大学经济管理学院,北京100044

出　　处：《工业技术经济》2021年第7期134-140,共7页Journal of Industrial Technological Economics

基　　金：中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助“非线性时间序列的多标度异质性关系研究”(项目编号:2020JBW012)。

摘　　要：本文基于2013~2019年中国31个省市的面板数据,采用固定效应模型和面板分位数回归模型,探究电子商务发展对产业结构升级的异质性影响。研究发现,电子商务发展促进了产业结构高度化,但对产业结构合理化没有显著影响。随着产业结构的升级,电子商务对产业结构高度化的边际促进作用递减,但减少的幅度较小。异质性研究发现,电子商务对西部地区的产业结构升级促进作用最强、中部其次、东部最弱。此外,现阶段,电子商务促进了第三产业的结构升级,对制造业结构升级没有显著促进作用。Based on the panel data of 31 provinces from 2013 to 2019,this paper uses fixed effect model and panel quantile regression model to explore the heterogeneous impact of e-commerce development on industrial structure upgrading.The research shows that the development of e-commerce promotes the supererogation of the industrial structure,but has no significant impact on the rationalization of industrial structure.As industrial structure updates,the promotion effect of e-commerce on the supererogation of the industrial structure decreases marginally,but the reduction of the extent is small.The heterogeneity study finds that the promotion effect of e-commerce to the industrial structure is the strongest in the west region,followed by the central region,and the eastern region is the weakest.In addition,e-commerce has contributed to the structural upgrading of the tertiary sector of the economy,with no significant effect on the structural upgrading of the manufacturing sector.

关 键 词：电子商务 产业结构升级 分位数模型 地区异质性 产业异质性 经济发展水平 

分 类 号：F121.3[经济管理—世界经济] F724.6