Understanding the economic impacts of sea-level rise on tourism prosperity:Conceptualization and panel data evidence  

作　　者：Enn Lun YONG 

机构地区：[1]Faculty of Science and Natural Resources,Universiti Malaysia Sabah(UMS),Kota Kinabalu,88400,Malaysia

出　　处：《Advances in Climate Change Research》2021年第2期240-253,共14页气候变化研究进展（英文版）

摘　　要：Sea-level rise is a long-term,intractable problem during which costly,large-scale inundation could occur in many countries;hence,tourismdevelopment should take this matter into account because ecology and biodiversity are the fundamentals underpinning tourism performance.This study conceptualizes an economic mechanism of the potential effects of sea-level rise on tourism development based on projected impactsfor the 2001e2100 period.Data for 48 developing countries across Africa,Asia,and South America are analyzed.The theoretical frameworkproposes two hypotheses to determine the extent of contradiction between awareness and destruction in relation to environmental protection fortourism development.From the panel data regression results,although destructive effects are bound to dominate the entire 21st century,awareness is latent and has the potential to reverse the destructive outcomes.With evidence from essential economic elements,this study givesnew insights into how severe the impacts of sea-level rise on tourism could be if shared values and adaptation measures to mitigate rising sealevel are not substantively promoted around the globe.The new findings show a 0.95 standard-deviation decrease in tourism performancefollowing a 1 standard-deviation increase in the economic loss related sea-level rise.Hence,in the main conclusions,we highlight that theprojected effect of inundation-related deterioration on a country's tourism sector appears to be approximately on par with the costs of inundationsto its economic growth.

关 键 词：Developing countries Economic growth INUNDATION Panel data Sea-level rise Tourism development 

分 类 号：F592[经济管理—旅游管理]