行政区划调整是否强化了土地运营?——来自长三角的政策效果检验  

Has Administrative Zoning Adjustment Strengthened Land Property Operation?Policy Effects from Yangtze River Delta

作　　者：黄静[1] 李凯 Huang Jing;Li Kai(School of Business,Shanghai Normal University,Shanghai 200234,China)

机构地区：[1]上海师范大学商学院,上海200234

出　　处：《热带地理》2021年第3期554-561,共8页Tropical Geography

基　　金：上海市哲学社会科学规划课题(2018BJB024);教育部人文社会科学研究研究项目(19YJAZH033)。

摘　　要：利用2007—2018年长三角地区所有经历行政区划调整的区县为研究范围,以被调整区的土地出让微观交易数据为样本,基于多期双重差分和三重差分法,在控制城市经济特征及地块特征的基础上,探讨行政区划调整是否强化了被调整区的土地运营程度。结果表明:1)与未实施行政区划调整的区域相比,被调整区以更低价格(降低14.6%)出让更多数量(面积增加61.5%)的工业用地来实现“土地引资”;以更高的价格出让商服用地(提高13.3%)和住宅用地(提高6.9%),获取更多土地出让金(总金额增加25%)来达到“土地财政”目的,表明行政区划调整显著加强了被调整区的土地运营程度。2)行政区划调整政策实施后的前5年拉升地价显著,5年后政策效应则不显著,表明土地运营强化具有短期时间效应。3)不同类型的区划调整因区域融合难易程度不同,拉升地价的程度也具有差异性,与“市辖区合并”和“市辖区范围调整”相比,“撤市(县)设区”对土地价格的影响程度更低。With rapid urbanization,administrative zoning adjustment has become an important means for local governments to promote urban development.The adjustment brings rapid expansion of land elements for core urban areas.Would the local government strengthen the land operation with adjusted zoning to attract investment and financing?The micro-transaction data of land transfer in the adjusted areas in the Yangtze River Delta region from 2007 to 2018 were taken as samples.The methods used include multi-stage Difference in Difference and Triple Difference models.On the basis of controlling urban economic and land parcel characteristics,this paper discusses whether the administrative division adjustment has strengthened the land operation degree in the adjusted area.The results show that:1)compared with the areas without administrative zoning adjustment,the price of industrial land in the adjusted areas reduced by a significant 14.6%,and the transferred area of industrial land increased by a remarkable 61.5%.The transfer price of residential and commercial land increased by 13.3%and 6.9%,respectively,and their total transfer expense rose by 25%.The empirical results show that administrative zoning adjustment strengthens the operation of land transfers in the adjusted areas,and shifts more industrial land at a lower price to attract investment and commercial and residential land at a higher price for more"land finance."2)In the first five years after the administrative zoning adjustment,land price increased significantly,but the policy effect was not substantial after five years,indicating that the strengthening of land operation had a short-term effect.3)Because of the difficulties in regional integration,different types of administrative zoning adjustments inflate land prices to varied degrees.Compared with"consolidation of municipal districts"and"adjustment of the scope of municipal districts,""withdrawal of cities(counties)to set up districts"has a lower impact on land price.This paper aims to reveal the land transmissio

关 键 词：行政区划调整 土地运营 多期双重差分 长三角地区 

分 类 号：F293.2[经济管理—国民经济]