城镇化进程对内蒙古碳排放量的影响研究  

The Impacts of Urbanization Process on Carbon Emissions in Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region

作　　者：赵文宇 刘菁[1] 杨天娇 ZHAO Wenyu;LIU Jing;YANG Tianjiao(School of Economics and Management,Beijing Jiaotong University,Beijing 100044,China)

机构地区：[1]北京交通大学经济管理学院,北京100044

出　　处：《河南科学》2021年第6期991-996,共6页Henan Science

基　　金：中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助(2019JBWB005)。

摘　　要：为探究城镇化进程对内蒙古碳排放量的影响,首先基于STIRPAT模型建立城镇化水平、城镇人口密度、经济发展水平、工业和服务业发展水平、生态建设、基础设施建设的影响因素指标体系,然后利用岭回归方法对2004—2017年内蒙古碳排放情况进行分析.结果表明:城镇化进程对内蒙古碳排放具有正向作用,城镇化水平和经济增长是其碳排放的主要驱动因素;内蒙古生态建设和基础设施建设质量偏低;城镇人口密度增长的负面影响相对突出;第二、三产业的发展对内蒙古碳排放量均有一定正向影响,但第三产业的影响极小.In order to explore the impact of urbanization on carbon emissions in the Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region.Based on the STIRPAT model,an index system was established of the influencing factors including urbanization level,urban population density,economic level,industrial and service development level,ecological construction and infrastructure construction.And a ridge regression method was used to explore the impact principle of urbanization on carbon emissions from 2004 to 2017.The results show that the process of urbanization has a positive effect on carbon emissions in Inner Mongolia.The level of urbanization and the economic growth are the main driving factors.The qualities of ecological construction and infrastructure construction are low.The negative impact of urban population density growth is relatively prominent.The development of secondary and tertiary industries has a certain positive impact,but the tertiary industry has minimal impact.

关 键 词：内蒙古 碳排放 STIRPAT模型 岭回归 新型城镇化 

分 类 号：F205[经济管理—国民经济] X321[环境科学与工程—环境工程]