中美战略竞争背景下的中俄关系:美国智库的评估  

Sino-Russian Relations in the Context of Sino-US Strategic Competition:Evaluation from American Think Tank

作　　者：马洪喜 Ma Hongxi

机构地区：[1]曲阜师范大学中国史博士后流动站

出　　处：《俄罗斯东欧中亚研究》2021年第3期58-76,155,156,共21页Russian，East European & Central Asian Studies

基　　金：作者主持的2020年度中国博士后科学基金第67批资助项目“中美战略竞争背景下的中俄关系--美国智库的战略观(20122019年)”(项目编号:2020M672020)的阶段性成果

摘　　要：步入21世纪的第三个十年,大国之间的竞争态势愈演愈烈。出于全面遏制打压中国崛起之目的,美国在诸多领域挑衅中国利益,中美关系呈现出滑坡趋势。与此同时,自2014年乌克兰危机以来,以美国为首的西方不断对俄罗斯施加严厉制裁,美俄关系倒退的态势也越趋明显。与美中关系、美俄关系进入“严寒期”不同,中俄关系提质升级。但是,在美国看来,中俄伙伴关系的进一步拉近对美国及其盟友与伙伴的利益构成严峻挑战,尤其自2014年乌克兰危机以来中俄关系的加速发展对美国造成了严重影响。有鉴于此,本文以美国知名中俄问题研究智库专家的观点为研究对象,对美国当下所认知的“中俄关系发展现状”“促进中俄关系发展的驱动力”以及“妨碍中俄关系深入发展的阻力”等三个方面进行了梳理分析,以剖析美国对21世纪中俄关系发展前景的认知。At present,the competition among big countries is becoming more and more intense.The relationship between China and the United States has shown a trend of“landslide”,and the relationship between the United States and Russia has also shown a trend of“retrogression”.At the same time,Sino-Russian relations are constantly upgrading.However,the United States believes that the“closer”of Sino-Russian relations poses a severe challenge on the interests of the United States and its allies and partners,especially the accelerated development of Sino-Russian relations since the Ukraine crisis in 2014.This paper mainly examines the views of experts on Sino-Russian issues from American think tanks,and especially analyzes three issues:“the present development situation of Sino-Russian relations”,“the driving force for promoting the development of Sino-Russian relations”and “the resistance hindering the in-depth development of Sino-Russian relations”.

关 键 词：中俄关系 美国智库 中美关系 俄美关系 大国博弈 

分 类 号：D822.351.2[政治法律—政治学]