基于云重心评价法的化工园区应急能力评估研究  

Research on Emergency Capability Evaluation of Chemical Industry Park Based on MCGC

作　　者：郭云涛[1] 郭梦娜 屈柯馨 白思俊[1] Guo Yuntao;Guo Mengna;Qu Kexin;Bai Sijun(School of Management,Northwestern Polytechnical University,Xi'an 710129,China)

机构地区：[1]西北工业大学管理学院,陕西西安710129

出　　处：《科技管理研究》2021年第11期210-215,共6页Science and Technology Management Research

基　　金：陕西省社会科学基金项目“大数据背景下陕西省化工安全事故预警与应急决策研究”(2015R005);陕西省软科学研究计划项目“基于战略联盟的军民融合推动陕西省产业结构转型升级路径研究”(N2018KA0043)。

摘　　要：针对化工园区应急能力评估现状,从化工园区应急管理过程出发构建化工园区应急能力评价指标体系,引入云重心评价法,建立基于云重心评价法的化工园区应急能力评估模型,运用加权偏离度衡量化工园区应急能力,解决定性概念与定量值之间的转换问题,用算例验证模型的有效性,为化工园区应急能力评估提供一种新方法。This paper makes a study of the emergency capability evaluation of chemical parks.Firstly,from the process of emergency management in chemical industry parks,an evaluation index system of emergency capability in chemical industry parks is formed.Then,aiming at the problems of fuzziness and randomness in the process of evaluating the emergency capability of chemical industry parks,and the transformation of uncertainty between qualitative and quantitative evaluation,the evaluation model of the emergency capability of chemical industry parks is constructed by using MCGC.The practicality and operability of the model are illustrated by the YH Chemical Industrial Park.The problem of transformation between qualitative concepts and their quantitative values has been solved in this study,and certain reference value for the evaluation of emergency response capability of chemical parks has been made.

关 键 词：应急能力 云重心评价法 加权偏离度 加权云重心 

分 类 号：N945[自然科学总论—系统科学] X93[环境科学与工程—安全科学]