我国电信网络诈骗犯罪的刑事政策分析——以需求弹性理论为视角  

Criminal Policy Analysis of Telecommunications Network Fraud in China from the perspective of Demand Elasticity Theory

作　　者：任文杰 REN Wen-jie

机构地区：[1]中国人民公安大学犯罪学学院,北京100038

出　　处：《四川警察学院学报》2021年第3期33-40,共8页Journal of Sichuan Police College

摘　　要：在犯罪经济学中,需求弹性理论是一种运用需求弹性衡量犯罪对惩罚价格反应程度的理论。当前我国主要采取“从严从快”的刑事政策应对多发高发的电信网络诈骗犯罪,惩罚价格处于较高水平,犯罪数量的增长态势得到一定程度的控制。在需求弹性理论的分析下,我国的电信网络诈骗犯罪对惩罚价格的反应由“缺乏弹性”逐步向“富有弹性”转变,彰显了“从严从快”刑事政策的威慑效用,但惩罚概率仍处于较低水平。若未能进一步提高惩罚概率,将难以应对日趋复杂的电信网络诈骗犯罪,或将重陷“缺乏弹性”的困境。为坚决遏制电信网络诈骗犯罪多发高发态势,应坚持对电信网络诈骗犯罪采取“从严从快”的刑事政策,常态化推行专项打击行动,加强反诈宣传教育,以提升惩罚概率和减少犯罪供给。In criminal economics,demand elasticity theory uses demand elasticity to measure the response degree of crime to punishment prices.At present,strict and fast criminal policies are mainly adopted to deal with the high incidence of telecommunication network fraud crimes in China.The penalty price is at a relatively high level,and the growth trend of crime number is controlled to a certain extent.Analysis based on the demand elasticity theory shows that the response of the crime to the penalty price has gradually changed from“inelastic”to“flexible”,demonstrating the deterrent effect of the present criminal policy,but the penalty probability is still at a low level.If the penalty probability is not further increased,it will be difficult to cope with the increasingly complex telecommunications network fraud crimes,or will fall back into the inelastic dilemma.It is suggested to continue to take strict and fast criminal policy,implement special crackdowns on a regu⁃lar basis,and strengthen anti-fraud publicity education to increase the penalty probability,reduce the supply of crimes,and resolutely curb the high crime incidence.

关 键 词：电信网络诈骗犯罪 需求弹性理论 犯罪经济学 刑事政策 

分 类 号：D631[政治法律—政治学]