新一轮贸易保护主义与中国区域贸易自由化策略  

A New Round of Trade Protectionism and China’s Regional Trade Liberalization Strategy

作　　者：崔庆波[1] CUI Qing-bo(School of Economics,Yunnan University,Kunming 650091,China)

机构地区：[1]云南大学经济学院,昆明650091

出　　处：《上海对外经贸大学学报》2021年第4期76-90,共15页Journal of Shanghai University of International Business and Economics

基　　金：国家社科基金青年项目“自由贸易区促进我国产业结构转型升级机制研究”(项目编号:15CJL051);云南大学教学改革研究重点项目“新文科专业人才培养的价值取向与理论融通——以国际经济与贸易专业为例”(项目编号:2019Z10)的共同资助。

摘　　要：自2017年美国特朗普政府开始实施"美国优先"政策以来,针对中国在内的众多贸易伙伴实施了大量贸易保护主义措施,新一轮贸易保护主义态势有所抬头。在多边贸易自由化陷入危机的背景下,推动区域贸易自由化是中国应对新一轮贸易保护主义的优先选择。在分析新一轮贸易保护主义的现实背景及理论逻辑的基础上,本文将新一轮贸易保护主义的影响归纳为歧视效应、排斥效应、转移效应、屏蔽效应、冲击效应、锁定效应和割裂效应,并提出区域贸易自由化可以通过第三国效应、贸易效应、集聚效应、融合效应、稳定效应、升级效应和垫脚石效应,有效抵消新一轮贸易保护主义的负面影响,并在此基础上分析了中国推动区域贸易自由化的有利因素及实施策略。Since"America First"has been put forward,a large number of trade protectionism measures have been systematically implemented against a wide range of trade partners including China,indicating the advent of a new round of trade protectionism.Based on the analysis of the realistic background and theoretical logic of the new round of trade protectionism,this paper summarizes the effects of the new round of trade protectionism into discrimination effect,exclusion effect,transfer effect,shielding effect,shock effect,lock-in effect,and fragmentation effect.Meanwhile,the regional trade liberalization have been proposed to offset above negative impacts of the protectionism through third-country effect,trade effect,Aggregation effect,integration effect,stability effect,escalation effect and stepping stone effect.To promote China’s regional trade liberalization,the favorable factors and implementation strategies are analyzed.

关 键 词：贸易保护主义 美国优先 区域贸易协定 区域贸易自由化 

分 类 号：F744[经济管理—国际贸易]