广东省县域经济差异时空演化及影响因素研究  

Research on spatiotemporal evolution and influencing factors of county economic differences in Guangdong province

作　　者：吴玮怡 钟凯文 许剑辉 WU Weiyi;ZHONG Kaiwen;XU Jianhui(Guangzhou Institute of Geochemistry,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Guangzhou 510640,China;Guangzhou Institute of Geography,Guangdong Academy of Sciences,Guangzhou 510070,China;Universityof ChineseAcademy of Sciences,Beijing 100049,China;Guangdong Open Laboratory of GeospatialInformation Technology and Application,Guangzhou 510070,China;KeyLaboratory of Guangdong for Utilization of Remote Sensing and GeographicalInformation System,Guangzhou 510070,China;GuangdongScienceand Technology Collaborative Innovation Center for Natural Resources,Guangzhou 510070,China;Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory(Guangzhou),Guangzhou 511458,China)

机构地区：[1]中国科学院广州地球化学研究所,广州510640 [2]广东省科学院广州地理研究所,广州510070 [3]中国科学院大学,北京100049 [4]广东省地理空间信息技术与应用公共实验室,广州510070 [5]广东省遥感与地理信息系统应用重点实验室,广州510070 [6]广东省自然资源科技协同创新中心,广州510070 [7]南方海洋科学与工程广东省实验室(广州),广州511458

出　　处：《测绘科学》2021年第6期156-163,共8页Science of Surveying and Mapping

基　　金：广东省科技计划项目(2018B020207002,2019B020208013,2019B020208004);2019年广东省省级农业科技创新及推广项目(2019KJ147);广东省自然科学基金项目(2018A0303130043)。

摘　　要：针对广东省县域经济发展不协调现状,该文以人均GDP为测度指标,利用空间自相关和标准差椭圆分析了2005—2017年广东省县域经济差异的时空格局演化,采用多元线性回归验证因子合理性,通过地理探测器定量分析影响广东省县域经济差异的主导因子和交互作用。结果表明:(1)广东省县域经济发展整体差异明显,经济发展水平由珠三角地区向外围逐渐降低;(2)广东省经济发展水平相似的县域存在明显的空间聚类特征,珠三角地区对其他区域的极化效应减弱,溢出效应增强;(3)广东省县域经济发展重心由西南方向朝东南方向移动,东翼、西翼、山区相对于珠三角地区的经济增长速度加快;(4)城镇居民可支配收入、第三产业产值、地方财政收入、人均社会消费品零售额、铁路密度是影响广东省县域经济差异的主要因素。In order to explore the spatiotemporal evolution and influencing factors of county economic differences in Guangdong province, the paper took per capita GDP as the measurement index. Spatial autocorrelation and standard deviation ellipse were used to analyze the spatiotemporal pattern evolution from 2005 to2017.Multiple linear regression was used to verify the rationality of factors.Furthermore,the leading factors and their interactions of economic differences were quantitatively analyzed through the geodetector.The results showed that:(1)the overall difference was obvious between the county economies in Guangdong province.The spatial distribution of economic development level showed the characteristics of center-periphery from the Pearl River Delta region to the peripheral region.(2)There were spatial clustering characteristics in counties with similar economic development level.Moreover,the polarization effect of the Pearl River Delta region on other regions was weakened,but the spillover effect was enhanced.(3)The barycenter of economic development moved from the southwest to the southeast.The economic growth speed of the east wing,the west wing and the mountain area was faster than that of the Pearl River Delta region.(4)The disposable income of urban residents,the output value of the tertiary industry,the local financial income,the retail sales of social consumer goods,and the railway density were the main factors affecting the economic development of the counties in Guangdong.

关 键 词：经济差异 县域 标准差椭圆 空间自相关 地理探测器 

分 类 号：P208[天文地球—地图制图学与地理信息工程]