生计恢复力、抱负水平与农户风险投资行为  

Livelihood Resilience,Aspiration Level and Farmers’ Risk Investment Behavior

作　　者：管睿 余劲[1] GUAN Rui;YU Jin

机构地区：[1]西北农林科技大学经济管理学院,陕西杨凌712100

出　　处：《华中农业大学学报（社会科学版）》2021年第4期69-78,180,181,共12页Journal of Huazhong Agricultural University(Social Sciences Edition)

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目“农业公共政策个体风险研判实验及拟合匹配研究——以陕甘鲁豫1600农户为例”(71573208);陕西省社会科学基金项目“陕西省精准扶贫的成效评估和长效机制研究”(2020R041)。

摘　　要：脱贫地区农户面对公共政策的响应程度不足严重削弱了乡村振兴战略的实施效率。基于2018年秦巴山脱贫地区农户调研数据及风险实验数据,通过Holt-Laury受控激励实验机制模拟农户风险投资行为,并通过结构方程模型厘清生计恢复力、抱负水平与农户风险投资行为三者间的影响机理。研究结果表明:第一,缓冲能力、自组织及学习能力是构成农户生计恢复力的重要维度;第二,农户生计恢复力是其抱负水平形成的重要基础,其中尤以缓冲能力的影响最大;第三,农户自组织与学习能力的培育能有效促进农户参与安全投资型项目,而缓冲能力的培育则能有效促进农户参与机会驱动型项目。基于此,地方政府应实现对农户生计恢复力的长效性培育,并积极引导农户形成合理、有效的抱负水平。同时,针对安全投资型项目,充分利用乡村社会中的互动效应并通过基层组织及村干部的积极走访与政策解读,进而促进农户形成清晰正确的预期收益;针对机会驱动型项目,需重视事前管理、事中监管及事后补救。Farmers’inadequate response to public policies has seriously weakened the implementation efficiency of Rural Revitalization Strategy in poverty-relieved areas.In this paper,Holt-Laury controlled incentive mechanism is employed to simulate farmers’risk investment behavior,and structural equation model is used to clarify the influence mechanism among livelihood resilience,aspiration level and farmers’risk investment behavior.Based on the survey data and the risk experimental data of farmers of poverty-relieved areas of Qinba Mountain in 2018,the research results show that:first,the buffer capacity,self-organization and learning ability are-important dimensions of farmers’livelihood resilience;second,the livelihood resilience of farmers is an important basis for the formation of their aspiration level,with buffer ability having the greatest impact;third,the cultivation of farmers’self-organization and learning ability can effectively promote farmers to participate in secure investment projects,while the cultivation of buffer capacity can effectively promote farmers to participate in opportunity-driven projects.Due to this,the local government should implement the long-term cultivation of farmers’livelihood resilience,and actively guide farmers to form a reasonable and effective level of aspiration.At the same time,for secure investment projects,we should make full use of the interaction effect in rural society,and help farmers to form clear and correct expected income through the active visits and policy interpretation of grass-roots organizations,weakening information inequality;for opportunity-driven projects,we need to attach importance to pre-management,in-process supervision and post remedy.

关 键 词：生计恢复力 抱负水平 风险投资行为 Holt-Laury实验 

分 类 号：F328[经济管理—产业经济]