The effects of nutrients on stream invertebrates:a regional estimation by generalized propensity score  

作　　者：Zutao Ouyang Song S.Qian Richard Becker Jiquan Chen 

机构地区：[1]Center for Global Change and Earth Observations,Michigan State University,1405 S.Harrison Road,East Lansing,MI 48823,USA [2]Department of Environmental Sciences,University of Toledo,2801 West Bancroft Street,Toledo,OH 43606,USA

出　　处：《Ecological Processes》2018年第1期218-230,共13页生态过程（英文）

基　　金：The first author receives financial support from the National Aeronautics and Space Administration(NASA)’s Land Cover and Land Use Program through their grant to Michigan State University(NNX15AD51G).

摘　　要：Introduction:The effects of nutrients on stream conditions within individual streams or small areas have been studied extensively,but the same effects over a large region have rarely been examined due to the difficulty of applying large-scale manipulative experiments.In this study,we estimated the causal effects of nutrients within the Western United States on invertebrate richness,an important biological indicator of stream conditions,by using observational data.Methods:We used the generalized propensity score method to avoid the common problem of statistical inference using observational data,i.e.,correlation established based on observational data does not imply a causal relationship because the effects of confounding factors are not properly separated.Results:Our analysis showed a subsidy-stress relationship between nutrients and invertebrate taxon richness in the whole Western United States and in its sub-ecoregions.The magnitude of the relationship varies among these subecoregions,suggesting a varying nitrogen effect on macroinvertebrates due,in large part,to the varying natural and anthropogenic conditions from ecoregion to ecoregion.Furthermore,our analysis confirmed that causal estimation results using regression can be sensitive to the imbalance of confounding factors.Conclusions:Stratifying data into ecoregions with relatively homogeneous environmental conditions or adjusting data by generalized propensity score can improve the balance of confounding factors,thereby allowing more reliable causal inference of nutrient effects.Invertebrates respond to the same nutrient levels differently across different site conditions.

关 键 词：Nutrient criteria Water quality Environmental management ECOREGION 

分 类 号：O17[理学—数学]