新时代西藏自治区能源矿业碳排放格局研究  

Study on the Carbon Emission Pattern of Energy and Mining Industries in Tibet Autonomous Region of China in New Era

作　　者：赵建安[1,2] 钟帅 胡纾寒[1] 沈镭 

机构地区：[1]中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所,北京100101 [2]中国科学院大学,北京100049

出　　处：《中国能源》2021年第6期67-74,共8页Energy of China

基　　金：第二次青藏高原综合科学考察研究资助(编号:2019QZKK1003);国家自然科学基金重点基金项目(编号:716306);国家自然科学基金面上项目(编号:42071281)。

摘　　要：进入新时代的西藏能源矿业呈现持续增长态势,电力生产、水泥制造、有色金属采选、非金属采选等,已成为能源矿业乃至整个西藏工业的主要行业,能矿业碳排放规模亦因此呈现较快增长,其中水泥生产成为主要碳排放源.2019年,西藏能矿业碳排放量估算结果为535.67万吨CO_(2)~548.55万吨CO_(2),其中水泥生产碳排放占93.06%~92.91%.相关研究结论包括:(1)未来水泥生产仍将是西藏能矿业碳排放增长的主体;(2)尽管能矿业与西藏主要人口聚居和经济活动在空间上高度重合,但其产生的碳排放增长不会对西藏区域碳收支格局产生重要影响;(3)适度调控能矿业的增长规模(水泥、铜铅锌等有色金属)和能矿业能耗结构(电力、水泥等),有助于缓解西藏未来能矿业碳排放规模的快速增长;(4)未来"水-光"主体清洁能源生产和供给体系的形成,将有助于西藏能矿业的碳减排.The energy and mining industries in Tibet present a continuous growth trend when the new era has come.Electricity production,cement manufacture,non-ferrous metal mining,non-metal mining have become the main industries in energy and mining industries and even in the entire industry of Tibet.As a matter of course,the carbon emission scale made by energy and mining industries,with cement manufacture recognized as the main source,increases rapidly.In 2019,the carbon emission of energy mining industry is estimated to be 535.67-548.55 ×10^(4)t CO_(2),of which the carbon emission of cement production accounts for 93.06%〜92.91%.In the future,cement production will still act as the main source of carbon emissions growth in energy and mining industries in Tibet.Although the energy and mining industries is highly coincident with the major population and economic activities,carbon emissions from energy and mining industries would not have an important impact on the regional carbon budget pattern of Tibet.Moderately controlling the growth scales of energy and mining industries(cement,copper,lead,zinc,etc.non-ferrous metals)and the energy consumption structure of mineral products(electricity,cement,etc.)will help alleviate the rapid growth of the carbon emissions from energy and mining industries.In the future,the formation of clean energy production and supply system will contribute to the carbon emission reduction of energy and mining industry in Tibet.

关 键 词：能源矿产业 碳排放 工业结构 西藏自治区 

分 类 号：F205[经济管理—国民经济]