农民工市民化的优先瞄准对象:基于市民化权能特征和公共投入约束的政策锚定  

Priority Target of Citizenization of Migrant Workers: Policy Research Based on Citizenization Power Characteristics and Constraints of Public Investment

作　　者：熊景维[1] XIONG Jingwei

机构地区：[1]华中农业大学社会工作系,武汉430070

出　　处：《农业经济问题》2021年第6期60-75,共16页Issues in Agricultural Economy

基　　金：国家社科基金重点项目“乡城人口迁移中回流农民的社会再适应及治理机制研究”(编号:17ASH013);教育部人文社会科学基金项目“农地三权分置对农民工家庭化迁移的影响研究”(编号:19YJC840017);中央高校基本科研业务经费项目“城乡统筹发展背景下农民工城市分层融入研究”(编号:2662018PY066);华中农业大学乡村振兴研究院开放课题“人口流动加剧背景下适合农村特点的公共卫生防疫体系建设研究”(编号:2020XCZX07)。

摘　　要：农民工群体的内部分异及其差别化的市民化权能状况和规模庞大的市民化公共成本,使得采用"优先瞄准"市民化权能较高者的"有序递进"策略成为稳步推动农民工市民化的一个必然选择。在界定了市民化中政府投入责任边界和成本构成的前提下,采用维持既有市民福利水平不变的"福利剩余"帕累托改进准则,本文构建了一个核算特定城市农民工市民化最优目标和优先瞄准对象锚定标准的评估技术体系,据此估计出武汉市2019—2023年公共财政投入承载范围内的市民化人口容量规模依次为4.28万、9.19万、9.49万、9.46万和9.02万。结合实地调查数据对该市农民工市民化权能分布进行估计,上述市民化目标相当于测算周期内该市市民化优先瞄准对象为市民化总权能得分值不低于0.74、0.69、0.65、0.63和0.61的农民工群体。研究表明,通过科学细致的成本核算和投入规划,农民工市民化的社会成本并不是难以想象的财政包袱,推动农民工市民化战略目标的实现也不是难以遂行的任务。The internal differentiation of migrant workers, the differentiated citizenization power, as well as the large-scale social cost make strategies of adopting an ’orderly and progressive’ approach and prioritizing citizens with higher powers a reasonable choice.As defining the boundaries of government input responsibility and cost composition in the process of citizenization promoting with the ’welfare surplus’ Pareto improvement criterion that aims at equaling urban public service while maintaining the welfare level of the existing citizens unchanged, this paper develops an evaluation system that calculates the optimal target of migrant workers’ citizenization in a specific city and the standard of priority targets.On this basis, it is estimated that the civilized population capacity within the scope of public financial investment in Wuhan from 2019 to 2023 is 42800,91900,94900,94600,and 90200.Based on the field survey data, the above-mentioned goal is equivalent to the screening criteria of the policy targets in 2019—2023 with no less than 0.74,0.69,0.65,0.63 and 0.61 corresponding to the total capability score of citizenization.The results show that, through scientific cost accounting and investment blueprint planning, the social cost of migrant workers’ citizenization is not an unimaginable financial burden, and promoting the realization of this strategic goal is not an impossible task as well.

关 键 词：农民工市民化 公共投入 市民化人口容量 市民化权能 政策瞄准 

分 类 号：F323.6[经济管理—产业经济] F299.27