蔡英文连任以来民进党当局的两岸政策析论  

Analysis on the Cross-Strait Policy of the DPP Authority since Tsai Ing-wen’s Re-election

作　　者：温天鹏 刘相平[1] Wun Tianpeng;Liu Xiangping

机构地区：[1]南京大学台湾研究所

出　　处：《台湾研究》2021年第3期10-21,共12页Taiwan Studies

摘　　要：2020年蔡英文连任后,其两岸政策在沿袭第一任期的基础上又有新的变化。本文拟探析蔡英文连任后民进党当局两岸政策的政策论述、策略设计、实施路径,评估其实施效果,剖析其影响因素。本文认为蔡英文连任后,在特朗普的怂恿下,在政治、经济、军事、法律、文化、涉外事务等诸多方面发起"台独"冲锋,从"暗独"走向"明独",从"缓独"走向"急独",从"冷对抗"走向"热对抗",全面挑战一个中国原则,严重破坏了两岸关系。近期,蔡英文向大陆释出所谓"善意",是在岛内外压力下的"权宜之计",一旦形势有变,其仍旧会"倚美谋独"、"以武谋独"。In January 2020,Tsai Ing-wen was re-elected as leader of the Taiwan region.On the basis of following the main content of the first term,his cross-Strait policy has new changes.It is of great significance to pay attention to and study these changes.This article intends to analyze the policy discourse,strategy design,and implementation path of the DPP government’s cross-Strait policy after Tsai Ing-wen’s re-election,evaluate its implementation effect,and analyze its influencing factors.This article believes that after Tsai Ing-wen’s re-election,at Trump’s instigation,he launched a"Taiwan independence"charge in politics,economy,military,law,culture,and foreign affairs,from"secret independence"to"Ming independence".The slowing down of independence is moving towards"fast independence",and the way from"cold confrontation"to"hot confrontation."This comprehensively challenges the one-China principle and severely undermines cross-Strait relations.Recently,Tsai Ing-wen has released the so-called"goodwill"to the mainland,which is a"helpless move"and"expedient measure"of pressure on and off the island.Once the situation changes,he will still"rely on the United States for independence"and"use military force."Seek independence".

关 键 词：蔡英文 两岸政策 “九二共识” “倚美谋独” “以武谋独” 

分 类 号：D618[政治法律—政治学]