岛礁守备火炮对海作战射击效力问题研究  

Research on Firing Effectiveness of Island Artillery in Sea Combat

作　　者：姜义 谭乐祖 孙超 王瑶 JIANG Yi;TAN Lezu;SUN Chao;WANG Yao(Naval Aviation University, Yantai 264001, China)

机构地区：[1]海军航空大学,山东烟台264001

出　　处：《兵器装备工程学报》2021年第7期78-84,共7页Journal of Ordnance Equipment Engineering

基　　金：装备预研领域基金项目(6140247030202)。

摘　　要：区分单目标和多目标分别建立岛礁守备火炮对海射击模型,对单目标以命中概率、对集群目标以毁伤目标平均数为射击效力评价指标,对影响命中概率的第一、二、三组误差进行了解析,运用高斯埃尔米特方法计算命中概率;对集群目标采用多表尺面积射击方法,给出确定表尺数和火力覆盖面积表达式。结合岛礁守备火炮实际,将装备可用度作为射击效力影响因素,给出了单炮射击实际命中概率和多炮射击实际平均毁伤概率的计算方法。运用MATLAB工具分别对2种模型进行仿真计算,并对结果进行分析,其仿真结果和结论有推广和参考价值,可以为指挥员决策对海上单目标和集群目标射击提供依据。In this paper,we distinguished single target and multi-target,and established the shooting model of island and reef Garrison Artillery to sea.We established the shooting effectiveness evaluation index of single target with hit probability and cluster target with average number of damaged targets,and analyzed the first,second and third groups of errors that affect the hit probability,and gave the results.The calculation method of multi-scale area shooting was used for cluster targets.Combined with the real parameters of the garrison gun,the simulation results are of great significance to the army,and can provide a strong theoretical support for the commander to command the troops to shoot single targets and cluster targets on the sea.

关 键 词：命中概率 误差分析 毁伤概率 单目标 多目标 射击效力 

分 类 号：TJ394[兵器科学与技术—火炮、自动武器与弹药工程]