基于MRIO模型的国际贸易隐含碳排放格局变动研究  

Research on the Pattern Change of Carbon Emission Embodied in International Trade Based on MRIO Model

作　　者：魏景赋[1] 辛增诚 WEI Jing-fu;XIN Zeng-cheng

机构地区：[1]上海理工大学管理学院

出　　处：《经济论坛》2021年第7期35-43,共9页Economic Forum

摘　　要：选取了美中德日等7个主要贸易国家,选择EXIOBASE数据库中这7个国家的最新数据,运用多区域投入产出模型,计算并分析了这些国家2007-2022年间生产侧、消费侧的碳排放以及国家之间的隐含碳排放流动规模和特征。结果表明:①发展中国家生产侧和消费侧碳排放都显著上升,而发达国家则基本趋于平稳;②发达国家消费侧的人均碳排放量远大于发展中国家,且发达国家消费需求占比更高,而发展中国家投资需求占比更高;③发达国家之间贸易隐含碳流动总量下降,南北、南南贸易隐含碳流动总量非同步上升,二者差异巨大。This paper chooses 7 major trading countries including the United States,China,Germany and Ja⁃pan,and uses their latest data in EXIOBASE and multi-regional input-output(MRIO)model to calculate and ana⁃lyze their carbon emissions on both production and consumption sides,as well as the size and features of embodied carbon emission flow between these countries from 2007 to 2022.The results show that:①The carbon emissions of developing countries on both production and consumption sides have increased significantly,while those of devel⁃oped countries have basically stabilized②The per capita carbon emissions of developed countries on the consump⁃tion side are much larger than that of developing countries,and the proportion of consumption demand in developed countries is higher while that of investment demand in developing countries is higher③The total amount of carbon emission flows embodied in trade between developed countries has decreased while that of North-South and SouthSouth trade increased asynchronously,where huge differences exist.

关 键 词：国际贸易隐含碳 全球多区域投入产出模型 贸易格局 南南贸易 

分 类 号：X32[环境科学与工程—环境工程] F742[经济管理—国际贸易]