安徽省县(市)域经济发展差异的空间相关性分析  

Spatial Correlation Analysis of Economic Development Differences Among Counties(Cities)in Anhui Province

作　　者：周茂俊[1] 葛莉 张孔生[1] ZHOU Mao-jun;GE Li;ZHANG Kong-sheng(Institute of Statistics and Applied Mathematics,Anhui University of Finance and Economics,Bengbu 233030,China)

机构地区：[1]安徽财经大学统计与应用数学学院,安徽蚌埠233030

出　　处：《经济研究导刊》2021年第21期117-119,共3页Economic Research Guide

基　　金：安徽财经大学校级科研项目“长三角城市群经济增长的空间效应研究”(ACKYC20038)。

摘　　要：基于ESDA的空间自相关分析,对安徽县(市)域2008—2017年人均GDP计算全局莫兰指数和局部莫兰指数,并绘制莫兰散点图及LISA集聚图。结果表明,安徽县(市)域经济整体上具有显著的空间自相关性,空间集聚特征逐渐增强;局部自相关分析表明安徽县(市)域经济逐步形成了两个空间集聚区,即以合肥为中心和以芜湖—宣城为中心的经济发达地区,以及以阜阳、亳州、淮北等组成的经济落后地区。最后,分析县(市)域经济差异形成的原因,并针对区域经济快速发展提出建议。Based on the spatial autocorrelation analysis of ESDA,this paper calculates the global Moran index and local Moran index of per capita GDP of Anhui county(city)from 2008 to 2017,and draws Moran scatter diagram and Lisa cluster diagram.The results show that Anhui county(city)economy has significant spatial autocorrelation on the whole,and the characteristics of spatial agglomeration are gradually strengthened;local autocorrelation analysis shows that Anhui county(city)economy has gradually formed two spatial agglomeration areas:economically developed areas with Hefei as the center and Wuhu Xuancheng as the center;economically backward areas with Fuyang,Bozhou,Huaibei,etc.Finally,it analyzes the reasons for the formation of county(city)economic differences,and puts forward suggestions for the rapid development of regional economy.

关 键 词：县(市)域经济 ESDA 空间自相关性 莫兰指数 

分 类 号：F127[经济管理—世界经济]