中国经济周期的趋势性特征研究  

Research on the Trend Characteristics of China's Economic Cycle

作　　者：蔡佳颖 Cai Jiaying(Chinese Academy of Fiscal Sciences,Beijing 100142)

机构地区：[1]中国财政科学研究院,北京100142

出　　处：《中阿科技论坛（中英文）》2021年第8期8-10,共3页China-Arab States Science and Technology Forum

摘　　要：当前中国的经济周期性特征逐渐显露,非常有必要准确把握经济周期的趋势特征与宏观经济指标之间的相关性。本文就经济周期时间跨度、增速波动率变化以及经济周期收尾阶段呈现的态势展开具体分析,研究发现,就经济增长的核心驱动力而言,中国经济增长的主要驱动力仍旧来自出口导向型增长和投资拉动型增长。At present,China's economic cyclical characteristics are becoming prominent,it is highly necessary to accurately grasp the correlation between the trend characteristics of the economic cycle and macroeconomic indicators.This article analyzes the time span of the economic cycle,changes in growth rate,and the trend presented in the final stage of the economic cycle.The study found that as the core driving force of economic growth,the main driving force of China’s economic growth is still export-oriented and investment-driven growth.

关 键 词：经济周期 新常态 分期对比 特征研究 

分 类 号：F237[经济管理—会计学]